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This work investigates the challenge of ensuring safety guarantees in the presence of uncontrollable agents, whose behaviors are stochastic and depend on both their own and the system's states. We present a neural model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shuqi Wang , Mingyang Feng , Yu Chen , Yue Gao , Xiang Yin

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Optimizing static risk-averse objectives in Markov decision processes is difficult because they do not admit standard dynamic programming equations common in Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms. Dynamic programming decompositions that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Jia Lin Hau , Erick Delage , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Marek Petrik

This paper studies a mean-risk portfolio choice problem for log-returns in a continuous-time, complete market. This is a growth-optimal problem with risk control. The risk of log-returns is measured by weighted Value-at-Risk (WVaR), which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-30 Pengyu Wei , Zuo Quan Xu

This scientific paper propose a novel portfolio optimization model using an improved deep reinforcement learning algorithm. The objective function of the optimization model is the weighted sum of the expectation and value at risk(VaR) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Boyi Jin

We study financial networks where banks are connected through bilateral liabilities and may default when resources are insufficient to meet obligations. We consider both the standard proportional clearing model and a priority-proportional…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Gergely Csáji , Rareş-Ioan Mateiu , Alexandru Popa , Ildikó Schlotter

Optimal execution of a portfolio have been a challenging problem for institutional investors. Traders face the trade-off between average trading price and uncertainty, and traditional methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Here,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

Traditional approaches to portfolio optimization, often rooted in Modern Portfolio Theory and solved via quadratic programming or evolutionary algorithms, struggle with scalability or flexibility, especially in scenarios involving complex…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Christian Oliva , Pedro R. Ventura , Luis F. Lago-Fernández

Ensuring the safety of neural networks under input uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in safety-critical applications. This paper builds on and expands Fazlyab's quadratic-constraint (QC) and semidefinite-programming (SDP) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Masako Kishida

In this paper, we propose a neural network-based method for CVA computations of a portfolio of derivatives. In particular, we focus on portfolios consisting of a combination of derivatives, with and without true optionality, \textit{e.g.,}…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We approach the continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection with reinforcement learning (RL). The problem is to achieve the best tradeoff between exploration and exploitation, and is formulated as an entropy-regularized, relaxed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-07 Haoran Wang , Xun Yu Zhou

The $\ell_0$-constrained mean-CVaR model poses a significant challenge due to its NP-hard nature, typically tackled through combinatorial methods characterized by high computational demands. From a markedly different perspective, we propose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Yizun Lin , Yangyu Zhang , Zhao-Rong Lai , Cheng Li

The problem of portfolio management represents an important and challenging class of dynamic decision making problems, where rebalancing decisions need to be made over time with the consideration of many factors such as investors…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Saeed Marzban , Erick Delage , Jonathan Yumeng Li , Jeremie Desgagne-Bouchard , Carl Dussault

The aim of this paper is to study the optimal investment problem by using coherent acceptability indices (CAIs) as a tool to measure the portfolio performance. We call this problem the acceptability maximization. First, we study the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-23 Gabriela Kováčová , Birgit Rudloff , Igor Cialenco

In this paper we address the problem of decision making within a Markov decision process (MDP) framework where risk and modeling errors are taken into account. Our approach is to minimize a risk-sensitive conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Yinlam Chow , Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor , Marco Pavone

The portfolio optimisation problem, first raised by Harry Markowitz in 1952, has been a fundamental and central topic to understanding the stock market and making decisions. There has been plenty of works contributing to development of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Xiang Meng

As the increasing application of AI in finance, this paper will leverage AI algorithms to examine tail risk and develop a model to alter tail risk to promote the stability of US financial markets, and enhance the resilience of the US…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-08 Zong Ke , Yuchen Yin

In this paper we study a continuous-time stochastic linear quadratic control problem arising from mathematical finance. We model the asset dynamics with random market coefficients and portfolio strategies with convex constraints. Following…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Yusong Li , Harry Zheng