English
Related papers

Related papers: Early-stopped aggregation: Adaptive inference with…

200 papers

Evolutionary algorithms (EAs), a large class of general purpose optimization algorithms inspired from the natural phenomena, are widely used in various industrial optimizations and often show excellent performance. This paper presents an…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-04-14 Yang Yu , Hong Qian

Data selection is designed to accelerate learning with preserved performance. To achieve this, a fundamental thought is to identify informative data samples with significant contributions to the training. In this work, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ziheng Cheng , Zhong Li , Jiang Bian

Many global optimization algorithms of the memetic variety rely on some form of stochastic search, and yet they often lack a sound probabilistic basis. Without a recourse to the powerful tools of stochastic calculus, treading the fine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Rajdeep Dutta , T Venkatesh Varma , Saikat Sarkar , Mariya Mamajiwala , Noor Awad , Senthilnath Jayavelu , Debasish Roy

Ensemble models often improve generalization performances in challenging tasks. Yet, traditional techniques based on prediction averaging incur three well-known disadvantages: the computational overhead of training multiple models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Caglar Demir , Arnab Sharma , Axel-Cyrille Ngonga Ngomo

We provide a novel characterization of semiparametric efficiency in a generic supervised learning setting where the outcome mean function -- defined as the conditional expectation of the outcome of interest given the other observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Harrison H. Li

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

Early time classification algorithms aim to label a stream of features without processing the full input stream, while maintaining accuracy comparable to that achieved by applying the classifier to the entire input. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Liran Ringel , Regev Cohen , Daniel Freedman , Michael Elad , Yaniv Romano

As a consequence of the high variability of load demand and renewable generation, long-term and high-resolution inputs are required for power system expansion planning, making the problem intractable in real-world applications. Time series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Ruiqi Zhang , Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon H. Tindemans

We consider the problem of adaptation to the margin and to complexity in binary classification. We suggest an exponential weighting aggregation scheme. We use this aggregation procedure to construct classifiers which adapt automatically to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Guillaume Lecué

We describe different Bayesian ensemble refinement methods, examine their interrelation, and discuss their practical application. With ensemble refinement, the properties of dynamic and partially disordered (bio)molecular structures can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-20 Gerhard Hummer , Jürgen Köfinger

We address unsupervised dependency parsing by building an ensemble of diverse existing models through post hoc aggregation of their output dependency parse structures. We observe that these ensembles often suffer from low robustness against…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Behzad Shayegh , Hobie H. -B. Lee , Xiaodan Zhu , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung , Lili Mou

The advancement of deep learning has led to the emergence of Mixture-of-Experts (MoEs) models, known for their dynamic allocation of computational resources based on input. Despite their promise, MoEs face challenges, particularly in terms…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Alexandre Muzio , Alex Sun , Churan He

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a commonly used method for finding the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters in a mixture model via coordinate ascent. A serious pitfall with the algorithm is that in the case of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-31 Adrian O'Hagan , Arthur White

Bayesian inference often faces a trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy. We propose an adaptive workflow that integrates rapid amortized inference with gold-standard MCMC techniques to achieve a favorable combination of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Chengkun Li , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev , Luigi Acerbi , Marvin Schmitt

This paper applies the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) statistical ensemble technique to estimate small molecule solvation free energies. There is a wide range of methods available for predicting solvation free energies, ranging from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-16 Luke J. Gosink , Christopher C. Overall , Sarah M. Reehl , Paul D. Whitney , David L. Mobley , Nathan A. Baker

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

We propose a general algorithmic framework for Bayesian model selection. A spike-and-slab Laplacian prior is introduced to model the underlying structural assumption. Using the notion of effective resistance, we derive an EM-type algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Youngseok Kim , Chao Gao

Machine learning models based on the aggregated outputs of submodels, either at the activation or prediction levels, often exhibit strong performance compared to individual models. We study the interplay of two popular classes of such…

Methods for neural network hyperparameter optimization and meta-modeling are computationally expensive due to the need to train a large number of model configurations. In this paper, we show that standard frequentist regression models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Bowen Baker , Otkrist Gupta , Ramesh Raskar , Nikhil Naik

Reinforcement learning can learn amortised design policies for designing sequences of experiments. However, current amortised methods rely on estimators of expected information gain (EIG) that require an exponential number of samples on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Tom Blau , Iadine Chades , Amir Dezfouli , Daniel Steinberg , Edwin V. Bonilla