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Under interpolation-type assumptions such as the strong growth condition, stochastic optimization methods can attain convergence rates comparable to full-batch methods, but their performance, particularly for SGD, remains highly sensitive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Aike Yang , Hao Wang

Consider the batch-arrival $GI^X/M/c/N$ model with $c$ servers, general inter-arrival batch times, finite buffer, and exponential service times. Inter-arrival batch times, batch sizes, and service times are $i.i.d.$ and independent of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Muhammad El-Taha , Thomas Michaud

We consider the task of learning a parametric Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) sequence model without examples of sequences, where the training data consists entirely of aggregate steady-state statistics. Making the problem harder, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Jianfei Gao , Mohamed A. Zahran , Amit Sheoran , Sonia Fahmy , Bruno Ribeiro

We provide an exact analysis of a class of randomized algorithms for solving overdetermined least-squares problems. We consider first-order methods, where the gradients are pre-conditioned by an approximation of the Hessian, based on a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci

This paper introduces ergodic-risk criteria, which capture long-term cumulative risks associated with controlled Markov chains through probabilistic limit theorems--in contrast to existing methods that require assumptions of either finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Shahriar Talebi , Na Li

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) algorithms have proven useful in scaling Bayesian inference to large datasets under an assumption of i.i.d data. We instead develop an SG-MCMC algorithm to learn the parameters of hidden Markov models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-16 Yi-An Ma , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

We introduce Tempered Geodesic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TG-MCMC) algorithm for initializing pose graph optimization problems, arising in various scenarios such as SFM (structure from motion) or SLAM (simultaneous localization and mapping).…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Tolga Birdal , Umut Şimşekli , M. Onur Eken , Slobodan Ilic

Random Matrix Theory (RMT) has successfully modeled diverse systems, from energy levels of heavy nuclei to zeros of $L$-functions. Many statistics in one can be interpreted in terms of quantities of the other; for example, zeros of…

We are interested in assessing the order of a finite-state Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with the only two assumptions that the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and that the density functions of the emission…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Salima El Kolei , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Matthieu Marbac

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

A survey of a variety of computational procedures for finding the mean first passage times in Markov chains is presented. The author recently developed a new accurate computational technique, an Extended GTH Procedure, Hunter (Special…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-11 Jeffrey J Hunter

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

The well-known Linear Chain Trick (LCT) allows modelers to derive mean field ODEs that assume gamma (Erlang) distributed passage times, by transitioning individuals sequentially through a chain of sub-states. The time spent in these states…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-25 Paul J. Hurtado , Cameron Richards

We show that the sensor self-localization problem can be cast as a static parameter estimation problem for Hidden Markov Models and we implement fully decentralized versions of the Recursive Maximum Likelihood and on-line…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Nikolas Kantas , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Arnaud Doucet

Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Randomized algorithms are overwhelming methods for low-rank approximation that can alleviate the computational expenditure with great reliability compared to deterministic algorithms. A crucial thought is generating a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-05 Dandan Jiang , Bo Fu , Weiwei Xu

In [Athreya, den Hollander, R\"ollin; 2021, arXiv:1908.06241] models from population genetics were used to define stochastic dynamics in the space of graphons arising as continuum limits of dense graphs. In the present paper we exhibit an…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander , Anton Klimovsky , Anita Winter

Gomez proposes a formal and systematic approach for characterizing stochastic global optimization algorithms. Using it, Gomez formalizes algorithms with a fixed next-population stochastic method, i.e., algorithms defined as stationary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Jonatan Gomez , Carlos Rivera

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

We introduce a new sequential methodology to calibrate the fixed parameters and track the stochastic dynamical variables of a state-space system. The proposed method is based on the nested hybrid filtering (NHF) framework of [1], that…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-24 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Joaquín Míguez