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We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Computing expected information gain (EIG) from prior to posterior (equivalently, mutual information between candidate observations and model parameters or other quantities of interest) is a fundamental challenge in Bayesian optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Fengyi Li , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

Recent explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods for time series primarily estimate point-wise attribution magnitudes, while overlooking the directional impact on predictions, leading to suboptimal identification of significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Hyeongwon Jang , Changhun Kim , Eunho Yang

This paper revisits the classic iterative proportional scaling (IPS) from a modern optimization perspective. In contrast to the criticisms made in the literature, we show that based on a coordinate descent characterization, IPS can be…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-04 Yiyuan She , Shao Tang

Many statistical problems include model parameters that are defined as the solutions to optimization sub-problems. These include classical approaches such as profile likelihood as well as modern applications involving flow networks or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Cheng Zeng , Yaozhi Yang , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

In this manuscript, we present a novel approach for sampling from a continuous multivariate probability distribution, which may either be explicitly known (up to a normalization factor) or represented via empirical samples. Our method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Hamidreza Behjoo , Michael Chertkov

This paper presents distributed conjugate gradient algorithms for distributed parameter estimation and spectrum estimation over wireless sensor networks. In particular, distributed conventional conjugate gradient (CCG) and modified…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-01-19 R. C. de Lamare

In this paper, a distributed stochastic gradient (SG) algorithm is proposed where the estimators are aimed to collectively estimate an unknown time-invariant parameter from a set of noisy measurements obtained by distributed sensors. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Die Gan , Zhixin Liu

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) is a popular algorithm used to estimates the intractable marginal likelihood of deep generative models. Although AIS is guaranteed to provide unbiased estimate for any set of hyperparameters, the common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Shirin Goshtasbpour , Fernando Perez-Cruz

This paper investigates the use of stratified sampling as a variance reduction technique for approximating integrals over large dimensional spaces. The accuracy of this method critically depends on the choice of the space partition, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Pierre Etoré , Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Eric Moulines

We develop and analyse an approach to optimize functions $l\colon \mathbb{R}^d \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ not assumed to be convex, differentiable or even continuous. The algorithm belongs to the class of model-based search methods. The idea…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-04 Christophe Andrieu , Nicolas Chopin , Ettore Fincato , Mathieu Gerber

This paper aims at achieving a "good" estimator for the gradient of a function on a high-dimensional space. Often such functions are not sensitive in all coordinates and the gradient of the function is almost sparse. We propose a method for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 Vivek S. Borkar , Vikranth R. Dwaracherla , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

Recent work shows that path gradient estimators for normalizing flows have lower variance compared to standard estimators for variational inference, resulting in improved training. However, they are often prohibitively more expensive from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Lorenz Vaitl , Ludwig Winkler , Lorenz Richter , Pan Kessel

In this paper, we consider static parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time state-space models. Our goal is to obtain an unbiased estimate of the gradient of the log-likelihood (score function), which is an estimate that is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra

SGD (Stochastic Gradient Descent) is a popular algorithm for large scale optimization problems due to its low iterative cost. However, SGD can not achieve linear convergence rate as FGD (Full Gradient Descent) because of the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Aixiang Chen , Bingchuan Chen , Xiaolong Chai , Rui Bian , Hengguang Li

Variational inference has experienced a recent surge in popularity owing to stochastic approaches, which have yielded practical tools for a wide range of model classes. A key benefit is that stochastic variational inference obviates the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Tobias Plötz , Anne S. Wannenwetsch , Stefan Roth

By building upon the recent theory that established the connection between implicit generative modeling (IGM) and optimal transport, in this study, we propose a novel parameter-free algorithm for learning the underlying distributions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Antoine Liutkus , Umut Şimşekli , Szymon Majewski , Alain Durmus , Fabian-Robert Stöter

We propose shifted inner-product similarity (SIPS), which is a novel yet very simple extension of the ordinary inner-product similarity (IPS) for neural-network based graph embedding (GE). In contrast to IPS, that is limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Akifumi Okuno , Geewook Kim , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Probabilistic integration of a continuous dynamical system is a way of systematically introducing model error, at scales no larger than errors introduced by standard numerical discretisation, in order to enable thorough exploration of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 H. C. Lie , A. M. Stuart , T. J. Sullivan

Generalized additive index models (GAIMs) offer a flexible semiparametric framework for capturing complex data relationships, balancing the interpretability of parametric models with the flexibility of nonparametric approaches. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Peng , Linglingzhi Zhu , Yao Xie