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We consider probabilistic systems with hidden state and unobservable transitions, an extension of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that in particular admits unobservable {\epsilon}-transitions (also called null transitions), allowing state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Rebecca Bernemann , Barbara König , Matthias Schaffeld , Torben Weis

Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

The Classical Tukey-Huber Contamination Model (CCM) is a usual framework to describe the mechanism of outliers generation in robust statistics. In a data set with $n$ observations and $p$ variables, under the CCM, an outlier is a unit, even…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Claudio Agostinelli , Victor J. Yohai

We propose the segmented iHMM (siHMM), a hierarchical infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) that supports a simple, efficient inference scheme. The siHMM is well suited to segmentation problems, where the goal is to identify points at which a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-23 Ardavan Saeedi , Matthew Hoffman , Matthew Johnson , Ryan Adams

Time series of conformational dynamics in proteins are usually evaluated with hidden Markov models (HMMs). This approach works well if the number of states and their connectivity is known. However, for the multi-domain protein Hsp90, a…

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a common statistical model which is widely used for analysis of biological sequence data and other sequential phenomena. In the present paper we show how HMMs can be extended with side-constraints and present…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-08-02 Henning Christiansen , Christian Theil Have , Ole Torp Lassen , Matthieu Petit

This paper proposes an adaptive penalized weighted mean regression for outlier detection of high-dimensional data. In comparison to existing approaches based on the mean shift model, the proposed estimators demonstrate robustness against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Jiaqi Li , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang , Wei Tu

Internet traffic in the real world is susceptible to various external and internal factors which may abruptly change the normal traffic flow. Those unexpected changes are considered outliers in traffic. However, deep sequence models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Sajal Saha , Anwar Haque , Greg Sidebottom

Over the years, the technological landscape has evolved, reshaping the security posture of organisations and increasing their exposure to cybersecurity threats, many originating from within. Insider threats remain a major challenge,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Selma Shikonde , Mike Wa Nkongolo

We consider a robust reinforcement learning problem, where a learning agent learns from a simulated training environment. To account for the model mis-specification between this training environment and the real environment due to lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yuhao Wang , Enlu Zhou

We put forward a simple new randomized missing data (RMD) approach to robust filtering of state-space models, motivated by the idea that the inclusion of only a small fraction of available highly precise measurements can still extract most…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Dobrislav Dobrev , Derek Hansen , Pawel Szerszen

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

We present a new algorithm to learn a deep neural network model robust against adversarial attacks. Previous algorithms demonstrate an adversarially trained Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) provides improved robustness. We recognize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Bao Gia Doan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Javen Qinfeng Shi , Damith C. Ranasinghe

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

In this work we present a flexible, probabilistic and reference-free method of error correction for high throughput DNA sequencing data. The key is to exploit the high coverage of sequencing data and model short sequence outputs as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-04 Xin Yin , Zhao Song , Karin Dorman , Aditya Ramamoorthy

This study introduces an outlier-robust model for analyzing hierarchically structured bounded count data within a Bayesian framework, utilizing a logistic regression approach implemented in JAGS. Our model incorporates a t-distributed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Outlying observations can be challenging to handle and adversely affect subsequent analyses, especially in data with increasing dimensional complexity. Although outliers are not always undesired anomalies in the data and may possess…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Gabriela Cohen-Freue

In many supervised learning applications, the response consists of both continuous and binary outcomes. Studies have shown that jointly modeling such mixed-type responses can substantially improve predictive performance compared to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Wang , Ran Jin , Lulu Kang

This paper presents a method for jointly estimating the state, input, and parameters of linear systems in an online fashion. The method is specially designed for measurements that are corrupted with non-Gaussian noise or outliers, which are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate