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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a well-established family of algorithms primarily used in Bayesian statistics to sample from a target distribution when direct sampling is challenging. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees uses MCMC.…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-24 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

Decision making needs to take an uncertain environment into account. Over the last decades, robust optimization has emerged as a preeminent method to produce solutions that are immunized against uncertainty. The main focus in robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch

The multiple-choice knapsack problem (MCKP) is a classic combinatorial optimization with wide practical applications. This paper investigates a significant yet underexplored extension of MCKP: the multi-objective chance-constrained MCKP…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Xuanfeng Li , Shengcai Liu , Wenjie Chen , Yew-Soon Ong , Ke Tang

In this paper, we consider the implementation of multi-level Monte Carlo method to a stochastic optimal control problem with log-normal coefficients and its surrogate model problem. From the perspective of two optimization problems, i.e.,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Qi Sun , Ju Ming

Model predictive control (MPC) is a promising approach for the lateral and longitudinal control of autonomous vehicles. However, the parameterization of the MPC with respect to high-level requirements such as passenger comfort as well as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 David Stenger , Robert Ritschel , Felix Krabbes , Rick Voßwinkel , Hendrik Richter

We propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model for the optimal participation of energy communities in electricity markets. The multi-stage aspect captures the different times at which variable renewable generation and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Albert Solà Vilalta , Ignasi Mañé , F. - Javier Heredia

Asset management attempts to keep the power system in working conditions. It requires much coordination between multiple entities and long term planning often months in advance. In this work we introduce a mid-term asset management…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Gal Dalal , Elad Gilboa , Shie Mannor

Engagement-optimized adaptive tutoring systems may prioritize short-term behavioral signals over sustained learning outcomes, creating structural incentives for reward hacking in reinforcement learning policies. We formalize this challenge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Oluseyi Olukola , Nick Rahimi

We propose a projection-free conditional gradient-type algorithm for smooth stochastic multi-level composition optimization, where the objective function is a nested composition of $T$ functions and the constraint set is a closed convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Tesi Xiao , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Saeed Ghadimi

We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

Maintenance optimization has been extensively studied in the past decades. However, most of the existing maintenance models focus on single-component systems and are not applicable for complex systems consisting of multiple components, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Zhicheng Zhu , Yisha Xiang , Bo Zeng

In this paper, we study the conditional stochastic optimization (CSO) problem which covers a variety of applications including portfolio selection, reinforcement learning, robust learning, causal inference, etc. The sample-averaged gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Lie He , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce scenario based stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables, which we can set, and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 S. Armagan Tarim , Suresh Manandhar , Toby Walsh

Gradient-based methods are often used for policy optimization in deep reinforcement learning, despite being vulnerable to local optima and saddle points. Although gradient-free methods (e.g., genetic algorithms or evolution strategies) help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Xiaobai Ma , Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Zongzhang Zhang , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Multi-stage decision-making under uncertainty, where decisions are taken under sequentially revealing uncertain problem parameters, is often essential to faithfully model managerial problems. Given the significant computational challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Simon Thomä , Maximilian Schiffer , Wolfram Wiesemann

In this paper we present a dynamic programing approach to stochastic optimal control problems with dynamic, time-consistent risk constraints. Constrained stochastic optimal control problems, which naturally arise when one has to consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we study a fixed-confidence, fixed-tolerance formulation of a class of stochastic bi-level optimization problems, where the upper-level problem selects from a finite set of systems based on a performance metric, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Yuhao Wang , Seong-Hee Kim , Enlu Zhou

Multilevel optimization has gained renewed interest in machine learning due to its promise in applications such as hyperparameter tuning and continual learning. However, existing methods struggle with the inherent difficulty of efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Yuntian Gu , Xuzheng Chen

Leveraging planning during learning and decision-making is central to the long-term development of intelligent agents. Recent works have successfully combined tree-based search methods and self-play learning mechanisms to this end. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Matthew V Macfarlane , Edan Toledo , Donal Byrne , Paul Duckworth , Alexandre Laterre
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