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Random fields play a central role in the analysis of spatially correlated data and, as a result, have a significant impact on a broad array of scientific applications. This paper studies the cepstral random field model, providing recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Tucker S. McElroy , Scott H. Holan

The models of triangulated random surfaces embedded in (extended) Dynkin diagrams are formulated as a gauge-invariant matrix model of Weingarten type. The double scaling limit of this model is described by a collective field theory with…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2010-11-01 I. Kostov

Multivariate tempered stable random measures (ISRMs) are constructed and their corresponding space of integrable functions is characterized in terms of a quasi-norm utilizing the so-called Rosinski measure of a tempered stable law. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Dustin Kremer , Hans-Peter Scheffler

We propose a flexible model for count time series which has potential uses for both underdispersed and overdispersed data. The model is based on the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution with parameters varying along time to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-23 Ricardo S Ehlers

A dynamic mean field theory is developed for finite state and action Bayesian reinforcement learning in the large state space limit. In an analogy with statistical physics, the Bellman equation is studied as a disordered dynamical system;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-13 George Stamatescu

Gaussian random field on general ultrametric space is introduced as a solution of pseudodifferential stochastic equation. Covariation of the introduced random field is computed with the help of wavelet analysis on ultrametric spaces. Notion…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-10 A. Yu. Khrennikov , S. V. Kozyrev

This work deals with the stationary analysis of two-dimensional partially homogeneous nearest-neighbour random walks. Such type of random walks in the quarter plane are characterized by the fact that the one-step transition probabilities…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Ioannis Dimitriou

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

This paper analyzes identifiability properties of structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models driven by independent and non-Gaussian shocks. It is well known, that SVARMA models driven by Gaussian errors are not…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-10 Bernd Funovits

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

The Ising model in a random field and with power-law decaying ferromagnetic bonds is studied at zero temperature. Comparing the scaling of the energy contributions of the ferromagnetic domain wall flip and of the random field a la Imry-Ma…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-15 Luca Leuzzi , Giorgio Parisi

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

There have been extensive studies of a random walk among a field of immobile traps (or obstacles), where one is interested in the probability of survival as well as the law of the random walk conditioned on its survival up to time $t$. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-25 Siva Athreya , Alexander Drewitz , Rongfeng Sun

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Structured variational inference constitutes a core methodology in modern statistical applications. Unlike mean-field variational inference, the approximate posterior is assumed to have interdependent structure. We consider the natural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Shunan Sheng , Bohan Wu , Bennett Zhu , Sinho Chewi , Aram-Alexandre Pooladian

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

We construct ensembles of random integrable matrices with any prescribed number of nontrivial integrals and formulate integrable matrix theory (IMT) -- a counterpart of random matrix theory (RMT) for quantum integrable models. A type-M…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-05-20 Emil A. Yuzbashyan , B. Sriram Shastry , Jasen A. Scaramazza

In this paper we establish a multivariate exchangeable pairs approach within the framework of Stein's method to assess distributional distances to potentially singular multivariate normal distributions. By extending the statistics into a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Gesine Reinert , Adrian Röllin

In this paper we construct general vector-valued infinite-divisible independently scattered random measures with values in $\mathbb{R}^m$ and their corresponding stochastic integrals. Moreover, given such a random measure, the class of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Dustin Kremer , Hans-Peter Scheffler