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In this paper, we propose a discrete circular distribution obtained by extending the wrapped Poisson distribution. This new distribution, the Invariant Wrapped Poisson (IWP), enjoys numerous advantages: simple tractable density,…

Multivariate functional data can be intrinsically multivariate like movement trajectories in 2D or complementary like precipitation, temperature, and wind speeds over time at a given weather station. We propose a multivariate functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-06 Alexander Volkmann , Almond Stöcker , Fabian Scheipl , Sonja Greven

In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hélène Cossette , Benjamin Côté , Alexandre Dubeau , Etienne Marceau

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We consider the distribution of the binomial probability mass function (pmf) among arithmetic progressions and obtain an average-type theorem. As applications, we consider the possible visits to a kind of sieved sets of integers or lattice…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Jun Hong , Xiaosheng Wu , Shixin Zhu

We introduce the evolving categories multinomial (ECM) distribution for multivariate count data taken over time. This distribution models the counts of individuals following iid stochastic dynamics among categories, with the number and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Marc Kéry , Trevor Hefley

Models for dependent data are distinguished by their targets of inference. Marginal models are useful when interest lies in quantifying associations averaged across a population of clusters. When the functional form of a covariate-outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-18 Glen McGee , Alex Stringer

The Ising model in the presence of a random field is investigated within the mean field approximation based on Landau expansion. The random field is drawn from the trimodal probability distribution $P(h_{i})=p \delta(h_{i}-h_{0}) + q \delta…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-26 I. A. Hadjiagapiou

We obtain the distribution of the maximal average in a sequence of independent identically distributed exponential random variables. Surprisingly enough, it turns out that the inverse distribution admits a simple closed form. An application…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Dimitris Cheliotis , Nickos Papadatos

Stochastic compartmental models are prevalent tools for describing disease spread, but inference under these models is challenging for many types of surveillance data when the marginal likelihood function becomes intractable due to missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Suchismita Roy , Alexander A. Fisher , Jason Xu

Suppose that a mobile sensor describes a Markovian trajectory in the ambient space. At each time the sensor measures an attribute of interest, e.g., the temperature. Using only the location history of the sensor and the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Romain Azaïs , Bernard Delyon , François Portier

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is discussed. A wide set of measurable quantities ("invariant moments") whose expectation value…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Paolo Rossi

We introduce a new variational approach to the stationary state of kinetic Ising-like models. The approach is based on the cluster expansion of the entropy term appearing in a functional which is minimized by the system history. We rederive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-26 Alessandro Pelizzola

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 G. M. Pan , J. Gao , Y. Yang , M. Guo

A random-field Ising model that is capable of exhibiting a rich variety of multicritical phenomena, as well as a smearing of such behavior, is investigated. The model consists of an infinite-range-interaction Ising ferromagnet in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-01-16 Octavio R. Salmon , Nuno Crokidakis , Fernando D. Nobre

Correlated random fields are a common way to model dependence struc- tures in high-dimensional data, especially for data collected in imaging. One important parameter characterizing the degree of dependence is the asymp- totic variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

This paper contains a study of multivariate second order stochastic mappings indexed by an abstract set $\Lambda$ in close connection to their operator covariance functions. The characterizations of the normal Hilbert module or of Hilbert…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Pastorel Gaspar , Lorena Popa

Sums of of 1-dependent integer-valued random variables are approximated by compound Poisson, negative binomial and Binomial distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Estimates are obtained for total variation and local metrics.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-05 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-29 Marie-Pierre Etienne , Eric Parent , Benoit Hugues , Bernier Jacques

We study scaling properties of stochastic aggregation processes in one dimension. Numerical simulations for both diffusive and ballistic transport show that the mass distribution is characterized by two independent nontrivial exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky
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