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Simulating realistic sensors is a challenging part in data generation for autonomous systems, often involving carefully handcrafted sensor design, scene properties, and physics modeling. To alleviate this, we introduce a pipeline for…

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Imitation learning with diffusion models has advanced robotic control by capturing the multi-modal action distributions. However, existing methods typically treat observations only as high-level conditions to the denoising network, rather…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhaoyang Liu , Mokai Pan , Zhongyi Wang , Kaizhen Zhu , Haotao Lu , Haipeng Zhang , Jingya Wang , Ye Shi

We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

Learning-based control methods typically assume stationary system dynamics, an assumption often violated in real-world systems due to drift, wear, or changing operating conditions. We study reinforcement learning for control under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Klemens Iten , Bruce Lee , Chenhao Li , Lenart Treven , Andreas Krause , Bhavya Sukhija

Spin-glass systems are universal models for representing many-body phenomena in statistical physics and computer science. High quality solutions of NP-hard combinatorial optimization problems can be encoded into low energy states of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-01-14 Gavin S. Hartnett , Masoud Mohseni

An adaptive sampling approach for efficient detection of bifurcation boundaries in parametrized fluid flow problems is presented herein. The study extends the machine-learning approach of Silvester~(J. Comput. Phys., 553 (2026), 114743),…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-19 Anshima Singh , David J. Silvester

We present an algorithm for model-based reinforcement learning that combines Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with random roll-outs and stochastic optimization for policy learning. The BNNs are trained by minimizing $\alpha$-divergences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Winged blimps operate across distinct aerodynamic regimes that cannot be adequately captured by a single model. At high speeds and small angles of attack, their dynamics exhibit strong coupling between lift and attitude, resembling…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Xiaorui Wang , Hongwu Wang , Yue Fan , Hao Cheng , Feitian Zhang

Mistakes in binary conditions are a source of error in many software systems. They happen when developers use, e.g., < or > instead of <= or >=. These boundary mistakes are hard to find and impose manual, labor-intensive work for software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Hendrig Sellik , Onno van Paridon , Georgios Gousios , Maurício Aniche

Quantification is the supervised learning task that consists of training predictors of the class prevalence values of sets of unlabelled data, and is of special interest when the labelled data on which the predictor has been trained and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Pablo González , Alejandro Moreo , Fabrizio Sebastiani

In this study, we introduce a sensitivity analysis methodology for stochastic systems in chemistry, where dynamics are often governed by random processes. Our approach is based on gradient estimation via finite differences, averaging…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Erika M. Herrera Machado , Jakob L. Andersen , Rolf Fagerberg , Daniel Merkle

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

In unsupervised learning, dimensionality reduction is an important tool for data exploration and visualization. Because these aims are typically open-ended, it can be useful to frame the problem as looking for patterns that are enriched in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Kristen Severson , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng

Predicting whether a molecule can cross the blood-brain barrier (BBB) is a key step in early-stage neuro-pharmaceutical design, directly influencing the efficiency and success rate of drug development. Traditional methods based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-16 Zihan Yang , Yuchen Xiao

Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Rui Li , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

Dropout has been demonstrated as a simple and effective module to not only regularize the training process of deep neural networks, but also provide the uncertainty estimation for prediction. However, the quality of uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Xinjie Fan , Shujian Zhang , Korawat Tanwisuth , Xiaoning Qian , Mingyuan Zhou

Many single-target regression problems require estimates of uncertainty along with the point predictions. Probabilistic regression algorithms are well-suited for these tasks. However, the options are much more limited when the prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Michael O'Malley , Adam M. Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Alejandro Schuler

Diffusion-based generative models (DBGMs) perturb data to a target noise distribution and reverse this process to generate samples. The choice of noising process, or inference diffusion process, affects both likelihoods and sample quality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Raghav Singhal , Mark Goldstein , Rajesh Ranganath
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