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The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Haiwen Guan , Moein Darman , Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Troy Arcomano , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

Data-driven deep learning models are transforming global weather forecasting. It is an open question if this success can extend to climate modeling, where the complexity of the data and long inference rollouts pose significant challenges.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Salva Rühling Cachay , Brian Henn , Oliver Watt-Meyer , Christopher S. Bretherton , Rose Yu

MeanFlow (MF) is a diffusion-motivated generative model that enables efficient few-step generation by learning long jumps directly from noise to data. In practice, it is often used as a latent MF by leveraging the pre-trained Stable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zheyuan Hu , Chieh-Hsin Lai , Ge Wu , Yuki Mitsufuji , Stefano Ermon

We introduce LUCIE-3D, a lightweight three-dimensional climate emulator designed to capture the vertical structure of the atmosphere, respond to climate change forcings, and maintain computational efficiency with long-term stability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Haiwen Guan , Troy Arcomano , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding the impact of human actions on Earth's climate. One key application of these models is studying extreme weather events, such as heat waves or dry spells, which have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Diffusion probabilistic models have been shown to generate state-of-the-art results on several competitive image synthesis benchmarks but lack a low-dimensional, interpretable latent space, and are slow at generation. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Kushagra Pandey , Avideep Mukherjee , Piyush Rai , Abhishek Kumar

Downscaling techniques are one of the most prominent applications of Deep Learning (DL) in Earth System Modeling. A robust DL downscaling model can generate high-resolution fields from coarse-scale numerical model simulations, saving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Elena Tomasi , Gabriele Franch , Marco Cristoforetti

Creating graphic layouts is a fundamental step in graphic designs. In this work, we present a novel generative model named LayoutDiffusion for automatic layout generation. As layout is typically represented as a sequence of discrete tokens,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Junyi Zhang , Jiaqi Guo , Shizhao Sun , Jian-Guang Lou , Dongmei Zhang

Weather and climate data are often available at limited temporal resolution, either due to storage limitations, or in the case of weather forecast models based on deep learning, their inherently long time steps. The coarse temporal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-25 Jussi Leinonen , Boris Bonev , Thorsten Kurth , Yair Cohen

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Recent progress in imitation learning has been enabled by policy architectures that scale to complex visuomotor tasks, multimodal distributions, and large datasets. However, these methods often rely on learning from large amount of expert…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Amber Xie , Oleh Rybkin , Dorsa Sadigh , Chelsea Finn

Generative Deep Learning is a powerful tool for modeling of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) in the tropics, yet its relationship to traditional theoretical frameworks remains poorly understood. Here we propose a video diffusion model,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Sulian Thual , Feiyang Cai , Jingjing Wang , Feng Luo

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Downscaling is essential for generating the high-resolution climate data needed for local planning, but traditional methods remain computationally demanding. Recent years have seen impressive results from AI downscaling models, particularly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Declan J. Curran , Sanaa Hobeichi , Hira Saleem , Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim

We present DEF (\textbf{\ul{D}}iffusion-augmented \textbf{\ul{E}}nsemble \textbf{\ul{F}}orecasting), a novel approach for generating initial condition perturbations. Modern approaches to initial condition perturbations are primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 David Millard , Arielle Carr , Stéphane Gaudreault , Ali Baheri

Large climate-model ensembles are computationally expensive; yet many downstream analyses would benefit from additional, statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal climate variables. We study a generative modeling approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jacquelyn Shelton , Przemyslaw Polewski , Alexander Robel , Matthew Hoffman , Stephen Price

This short note proposes a model-driven conditional Fourier neural operator (MD-CFNO) for synthetic turbulence generation. Spectrum-consistent synthetic turbulence is essential for inflow boundary construction in computational fluid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyuan Lin , Shizhao Wang

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Discrete diffusion models have emerged as a powerful class of models and a promising route to fast language generation, but practical implementations typically rely on factored reverse transitions ignoring cross-token dependencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Dario Shariatian , Alain Durmus , Umut Simsekli , Stefano Peluchetti
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