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Predicting T-cell receptor (TCR)--peptide-MHC (pMHC) binding is central to vaccine design and T-cell therapy, yet deployed models frequently encounter epitopes unseen during training, causing silent overconfidence and unreliable…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Arman Bekov , Timur Bekzhanov , Bekzat Sadykov

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu

Notions of counterfactual invariance (CI) have proven essential for predictors that are fair, robust, and generalizable in the real world. We propose graphical criteria that yield a sufficient condition for a predictor to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Francesco Quinzan , Cecilia Casolo , Krikamol Muandet , Yucen Luo , Niki Kilbertus

Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) has achieved remarkable success, but its performance can degrade when fine-tuned in out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. We model the prediction process using a Structural Causal Model (SCM) and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Zeen Song , Siyu Zhao , Xingyu Zhang , Jiangmeng Li , Changwen Zheng , Wenwen Qiang

Deep neural network based question answering (QA) models are neither robust nor explainable in many cases. For example, a multiple-choice QA model, tested without any input of question, is surprisingly "capable" to predict the most of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Sicheng Yu , Yulei Niu , Shuohang Wang , Jing Jiang , Qianru Sun

The complex nature of tripartite peptide-MHC-TCR interactions is a critical yet underexplored area in immunogenicity prediction. Traditional studies on TCR-antigen binding have not fully addressed the complex dependencies in triad binding.…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-06 Jiahao Ma , Hongzong Li , Jian-Dong Huang , Ye-Fan Hu , Yifan Chen

Counterfactual explanations (CFXs) provide human-understandable justifications for model predictions, enabling actionable recourse and enhancing interpretability. To be reliable, CFXs must avoid regions of high predictive uncertainty, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Aman Bilkhoo , Mehran Hosseini , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

Conformal prediction (CP) provides powerful, distribution-free prediction sets, but its guarantees rely on the exchangeability of training and test data, which is often violated in practice due to covariate shifts. While weighted conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 James Wang , Surbhi Goel

Contrasting marginal counterfactual survival curves across treatment arms is an effective and popular approach for inferring the causal effect of an intervention on a right-censored time-to-event outcome. A key challenge to drawing such…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-29 Andrew Ying , Yifan Cui , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Deep learning models can predict protein properties with unprecedented accuracy but rarely offer mechanistic insight or actionable guidance for engineering improved variants. When a model flags an antibody as unstable, the protein engineer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Weronika Kłos , Sidney Bender , Lukas Kades

Despite large-scale pre-trained language models have achieved striking results for text classificaion, recent work has raised concerns about the challenge of shortcut learning. In general, a keyword is regarded as a shortcut if it creates a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Rui Song , Fausto Giunchiglia , Yingji Li , Hao Xu

In counterfactual learning to rank (CLTR) user interactions are used as a source of supervision. Since user interactions come with bias, an important focus of research in this field lies in developing methods to correct for the bias of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Ali Vardasbi , Maarten de Rijke , Ilya Markov

A central challenge in any study of the effects of beliefs on outcomes, such as decisions and behavior, is the risk of omitted variables bias. Omitted variables, frequently unmeasured or even unknown, can induce correlations between beliefs…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Raanan Sulitzeanu-Kenan , Micha Mandel , Yosef Rinott

Syntactically controlled paraphrase generation requires language models to generate paraphrases for sentences according to specific syntactic structures. Existing fine-tuning methods for this task are costly as all the parameters of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Yixin Wan , Kuan-Hao Huang , Kai-Wei Chang

Counterfactual explanations for black-box models aim to pr ovide insight into an algorithmic decision to its recipient. For a binary classification problem an individual counterfactual details which features might be changed for the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 James M. Adams , Gesine Reinert , Lukasz Szpruch , Carsten Maple , Andrew Elliott

While Conformal Prediction (CP) has proven to be a powerful framework for uncertainty quantification, guaranteeing conditional coverage remains a central challenge. Although finite-sample, distribution-free conditional validity is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Félix Laplante

We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

Predictive coding (PC) is a general theory of cortical function. The local, gradient-based learning rules found in one kind of PC model have recently been shown to closely approximate backpropagation. This finding suggests that this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Nick Alonso , Emre Neftci

Through the use of carefully tailored convolutional neural network architectures, a deep image prior (DIP) can be used to obtain pre-images from latent representation encodings. Though DIP inversion has been known to be superior to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Vivek Narayanaswamy , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Andreas Spanias

CLIP-style contrastive pretraining typically curates web-scale image-text pairs using sample-level filtering signals, often based on pair-level alignment. We show that this signal saturates: once coarse mismatches are removed, stricter…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Hyejin Go , Semi Lee , Hyesong Choi
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