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Handling model mismatch is a common challenge in model predictive control (MPC). While robust MPC is effective, its conservatism often makes it less desirable. Certainty-equivalence MPC (CE-MPC), which uses a nominal model, offers an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Changrui Liu , Shengling Shi , Bart De Schutter

Conditional independence tests (CIT) are widely used for causal discovery and feature selection. Even with false discovery rate (FDR) control procedures, they often fail to provide frequentist guarantees in practice. We highlight two common…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Milleno Pan , Antoine de Mathelin , Wesley Tansey

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) segmentation on contrast-enhanced CT is inherently ambiguous: inter-rater disagreement among experts reflects genuine uncertainty rather than annotation noise. Standard deep learning approaches assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Tristan Kirscher , Alexandra Ertl , Klaus Maier-Hein , Xavier Coubez , Philippe Meyer , Sylvain Faisan

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts. We analyze the use of pseudo-calibration as a tool to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Farbod Siahkali , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta

In this paper, we clarify a serious misinterpretation and consequent misuse of the Principle of Maximum Conformality (PMC), which also can be served as a mini review of PMC. We emphasize that the purpose of the PMC is to achieve precise…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-03 Jiang Yan , Stanley J. Brodsky , Leonardo Di Giustino , Philip G. Ratcliffe , Sheng-Quan Wang , Xing-Gang Wu

We propose an adaptive sequential framework for testing two simple hypotheses that analytically ensures finite exposure to the less effective treatment. Our proposed procedure employs a likelihood ratio-driven adaptive allocation rule,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Artificial intelligence(AI)-assisted method had received much attention in the risk field such as disease diagnosis. Different from the classification of disease types, it is a fine-grained task to classify the medical images as benign or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Shuang Ge , Kehong Yuan , Maokun Han , Desheng Sun , Huabin Zhang , Qiongyu Ye

Machine learning methods for identifying molecular structures from tandem mass spectra (MS/MS) have advanced rapidly, yet current approaches still exhibit significant error rates. In high-stakes applications such as clinical metabolomics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Mira Jürgens , Gaetan De Waele , Morteza Rakhshaninejad , Willem Waegeman

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) that accomplishes interactive robotic tasks, in which multiple contacts may occur at unknown locations. To address such scenarios, we made an explicit contact feedback loop in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Seo Wook Han , Maged Iskandar , Jinoh Lee , Min Jun Kim

Recently, a growing body of research has focused on either optimizing CTR model architectures to better model feature interactions or refining training objectives to aid parameter learning, thereby achieving better predictive performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Moyu Zhang , Yun Chen , Yujun Jin , Jinxin Hu , Yu Zhang , Xiaoyi Zeng

Recent work in Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) has shown that a unified Transformer trained under a masked auto-encoding objective can effectively capture the relationships between different modalities (e.g., states, actions, rewards)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Kehan Wen , Yutong Hu , Yao Mu , Lei Ke

Driver observation models are rarely deployed under perfect conditions. In practice, illumination, camera placement and type differ from the ones present during training and unforeseen behaviours may occur at any time. While observing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Alina Roitberg , Kunyu Peng , David Schneider , Kailun Yang , Marios Koulakis , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

This paper proposes a novel robust model predictive control (RMPC) method for the stabilization of constrained systems subject to additive disturbance (AD) and multiplicative disturbance (MD). Concentric containers are introduced to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-05 Shibo Han , Yuhao Zhang , Xiaotong Shi , Xingwei Zhao

Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable prediction with machine learning systems. Calibration error is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Eugène Berta , Sacha Braun , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Conformal prediction (CP) converts any model's output to prediction sets with a guarantee to cover the true label with (adjustable) high probability. Robust CP extends this guarantee to worst-case (adversarial) inputs. Existing baselines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Aleksandar Bojchevski

T-cell receptor (TCR) interactions with antigenic peptides underpin adaptive immunity and are pivotal for personalized immunotherapy and vaccine development. Despite recent progress, computational modeling of TCR-peptide specificity remains…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-07 Yiming Wang , Weiyu Xiao , Jiangbin Zheng , Stan Z. Li

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

Modern end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) models like Whisper not only suffer from reduced recognition accuracy in noise, but also exhibit overconfidence - assigning high confidence to wrong predictions. We conduct a systematic…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Mingyue Huo , Yuheng Zhang , Yan Tang

Conformal selection (CS) uses calibration data to identify test inputs whose unobserved outcomes are likely to satisfy a pre-specified minimal quality requirement, while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). Existing methods fix the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Meiyi Zhu , Osvaldo Simeone
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