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We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ together with a sequence of independent, identically distributed $X$-space valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$ and give a good estimate on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam

We deduce in this paper the sufficient conditions for weak convergence of centered and normed deviation of the u-statistics with values in the space of the real valued continuous function defined on some compact metric space. We obtain also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-12 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Let $N$ be the number of triangles in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge density $p=d/n,$ where $d>0$ is a fixed constant. It is well known that $N$ weakly converges to the Poisson distribution with mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Shirshendu Ganguly , Ella Hiesmayr , Kyeongsik Nam

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We study the discrete bin covering problem where a multiset of items from a fixed set $S \subseteq (0,1]$ must be split into disjoint subsets while maximizing the number of subsets whose contents sum to at least $1$. We study the online…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Magnus Berg , Shahin Kamali

Finding a maximum cut is a fundamental task in many computational settings. Surprisingly, it has been insufficiently studied in the classic distributed settings, where vertices communicate by synchronously sending messages to their…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Keren Censor-Hillel , Rina Levy , Hadas Shachnai

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

In this paper, we propose a new accelerated stochastic first-order method called clipped-SSTM for smooth convex stochastic optimization with heavy-tailed distributed noise in stochastic gradients and derive the first high-probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Eduard Gorbunov , Marina Danilova , Alexander Gasnikov

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

In this paper we consider sample path growth of superpositions of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type processes (supOU). SupOU processes are stationary infinitely divisible processes defined as integrals with respect to a random measure. They allow…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Danijel Grahovac , Peter Kevei

It is the purpose of this paper to investigate the issue of estimating the regularity index $\beta>0$ of a discrete heavy-tailed r.v. $S$, \textit{i.e.} a r.v. $S$ valued in $\mathbb{N}^*$ such that $\mathbb{P}(S>n)=L(n)\cdot n^{-\beta}$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon , Carlos Fernández

Multivariate rapid variation describes decay rates of joint light tails of a multivariate distribution. We impose a local uniformity condition to control decay variation of distribution tails along different directions, and using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Haijun Li

We report some properties of heavy-tailed Sibuya-like distributions related to thinning, self-decomposability and branching processes. Extension of the thinning operation of on-negative integer-valued random variables to scaling by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Lev B. Klebanov , Michal Šumbera

We study in this report the so-called Strictly Subgaussian (SSub) random variables (r.v.), which form a very interest subclass of Subgaussian (Sub) r.v., and obtain the exact exponential bounds for tail of distribution for sums of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota