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Robust state estimation in coupled dynamical systems depends critically not only on sensor quality but on the structural alignment between observation channels and the system's intrinsic dynamics. This paper develops a rigorous framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Somasundhar Venkatasubramanian , Anirudh Venkat , Advaidh Venkat

The spatiotemporal dynamics of turbulent flows is chaotic and difficult to predict. This makes the design of accurate and stable reduced-order models challenging. The overarching objective of this paper is to propose a nonlinear…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-23 Alberto Racca , Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Luca Magri

In chaotic dynamical systems, extreme events manifest in time series as unpredictable large-amplitude peaks. Although deterministic, extreme events appear seemingly randomly, which makes their forecasting difficult. By learning the dynamics…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-29 Osama Ahmed , Felix Tennie , Luca Magri

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

Although it is now understood that chaos in complex classical systems is the foundation of thermodynamic behavior, the detailed relations between the microscopic properties of the chaotic dynamics and the macroscopic thermodynamic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 Mario Mulansky

In this paper, we present a novel trajectory prediction model for autonomous driving, combining a Characterized Diffusion Module and a Spatial-Temporal Interaction Network to address the challenges posed by dynamic and heterogeneous traffic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Haoming Li

Reservoir computing - information processing based on untrained recurrent neural networks with random connections - is expected to depend on the nonlinear properties of the neurons and the resulting oscillatory, chaotic, or fixpoint…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Claus Metzner , Achim Schilling , Andreas Maier , Patrick Krauss

We study how spatiotemporal chaos in dynamical systems can be controlled by stochastically returning them to their initial conditions. Focusing on discrete nonlinear maps, we analyze how key measures of chaos -- the Lyapunov exponent and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Camille Aron , Manas Kulkarni

This chapter offers a principled approach to the prediction of chaotic systems from data. First, we introduce some concepts from dynamical systems' theory and chaos theory. Second, we introduce machine learning approaches for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-14 Luca Magri , Andrea Nóvoa , Elise Özalp

Spontaneous self-organization is ubiquitous in systems far from thermodynamic equilibrium. While organized structures that emerge dominate transport properties, universal representations that identify and describe these key objects remain…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-09-29 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , James P. Crutchfield

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

Can a neural network trained by the time series of system A be used to predict the evolution of system B? This problem, knowing as transfer learning in a broad sense, is of great importance in machine learning and data mining, yet has not…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Yali Guo , Han Zhang , Liang Wang , Huawei Fan , Xingang Wang

Macroscopic systems subjected to injection and dissipation of energy can exhibit complex spatiotemporal behaviors as result of dissipative self-organization. Here, we report a one and two dimensional pattern forming set up, which exhibits a…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2016-08-24 Marcel G. Clerc , Gregorio González-Cortés , Vincent Odent , Mario Wilson

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Two important classes of spatio-temporal patterns, namely, spatio-temporal chaos and self-replicating patterns, for a representative three variable autocatalytic reaction mechanism coupled with diffusion has been studied. The…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Nita Parekh , V. Ravi Kumar , B. D. Kulkarni

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

The goal of this investigation was to derive strictly new properties of chaotic systems and their mutual relations. The generalized Fokker-Planck equation with a non stationary diffusion has been derived and used for chaos analysis. An…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-29 Sergey A. Kamenshchikov

The real-time prediction of chaotic systems requires a nonlinear-reduced order model (ROM) to forecast the dynamics, and a stream of data from sensors to update the ROM. Data-driven ROMs are typically built with a two-step strategy: data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-19 Elise Özalp , Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Recently, a concept of deterministic and stochastic turbulence has been introduced based on experiments with a boundary layer. In these experiments, the flow was driven with controlled random perturbation; in addition, natural ambient noise…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-19 Arkady Pikovsky
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