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Scenario generation is the construction of a discrete random vector to represent parameters of uncertain values in a stochastic program. Most approaches to scenario generation are distribution-driven, that is, they attempt to construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Jamie Fairbrother , Amanda Turner , Stein Wallace

Risk contagion concerns any entity dealing with large scale risks. Suppose (X,Y) denotes a risk vector pertaining to two components in some system. A relevant measurement of risk contagion would be to quantify the amount of influence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen

Under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) capital charges for the trading book are based on the coherent expected shortfall (ES) risk measure, which show greater sensitivity to tail risk. In this paper it is argued that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-16 Marie Kratz , Yen H. Lok , Alexander J McNeil

Root causal analysis seeks to identify the set of initial perturbations that induce an unwanted outcome. In prior work, we defined sample-specific root causes of disease using exogenous error terms that predict a diagnosis in a structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-28 Eric V. Strobl , Thomas A. Lasko

We consider generalized linear regression analysis with left-censored covariate due to the lower limit of detection. Complete case analysis by eliminating observations with values below limit of detection yields valid estimates for…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-09 Shengchun Kong , Bin Nan

The problem of regression extrapolation, or out-of-distribution generalization, arises when predictions are required at test points outside the range of the training data. In such cases, the non-parametric guarantees for regression methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Gloria Buriticá , Sebastian Engelke

In longitudinal studies, repeated measures are collected over time and hence they tend to be serially correlated. In this paper we consider an extension of skew-normal/independent linear mixed models introduced by Lachos et al. (2010),…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Victor H. Lachos , Larissa A. Matos

Quantile regression is an increasingly important empirical tool in economics and other sciences for analyzing the impact of a set of regressors on the conditional distribution of an outcome. Extremal quantile regression, or quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val

Analyzing Event-Triggered Control's (ETC) sampling behaviour is of paramount importance, as it enables formal assessment of its sampling performance and prediction of its sampling patterns. In this work, we formally analyze the sampling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

Data subject to heavy-tailed errors are commonly encountered in various scientific fields, especially in the modern era with explosion of massive data. To address this problem, procedures based on quantile regression and Least Absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Jianqing Fan , Quefeng Li , Yuyan Wang

Differential equations are pivotal in modeling and understanding the dynamics of various systems, offering insights into their future states through parameter estimation fitted to time series data. In fields such as economy, politics, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-24 Hyeontae Jo , Sung Woong Cho , Hyung Ju Hwang

This paper considers fixed effects (FE) estimation for linear panel data models under possible model misspecification when both the number of individuals, $n$, and the number of time periods, $T$, are large. We first clarify the probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Antonio F. Galvao , Kengo Kato

Risk is an inherent feature of agricultural production and marketing and accurate measurement of it helps inform more efficient use of resources. This paper examines three tail quantile-based risk measures applied to the estimation of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter , Kevin Dowd , Wyn Morgan

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

Due to the limited and even imbalanced data, semi-supervised semantic segmentation tends to have poor performance on some certain categories, e.g., tailed categories in Cityscapes dataset which exhibits a long-tailed label distribution.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hanzhe Hu , Fangyun Wei , Han Hu , Qiwei Ye , Jinshi Cui , Liwei Wang

We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Abubakar Abid , James Zou

Expectile regression is a nice tool for investigating conditional distributions beyond the conditional mean. It is well-known that expectiles can be described with the help of the asymmetric least square loss function, and this link makes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-15 Muhammad Farooq , Ingo Steinwart

As one of the most commonly seen data challenges, missing data, in particular, multiple, non-monotone missing patterns, complicates estimation and inference due to the fact that missingness mechanisms are often not missing at random, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu