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Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

Given a noisy linear measurement $y = Ax + \xi$ of a distribution $p(x)$, and a good approximation to the prior $p(x)$, when can we sample from the posterior $p(x \mid y)$? Posterior sampling provides an accurate and fair framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Zhiyang Xun , Shivam Gupta , Eric Price

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Geophysical inverse problems are often ill-posed and admit multiple solutions. Conventional discriminative methods typically yield a single deterministic solution, which fails to model the posterior distribution, cannot generate diverse…

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

We develop a general class of Bayesian repulsive Gaussian mixture models that encourage well-separated clusters, aiming at reducing potentially redundant components produced by independent priors for locations (such as the Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have recently shown successful results for conditional sampling of generative diffusion models. In this paper we propose a new diffusion posterior SMC sampler achieving improved statistical efficiencies,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Zheng Zhao

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Likelihood surfaces in the parameter space of gravitational wave signals can contain many secondary maxima, which can prevent search algorithms from finding the global peak and correctly mapping the distribution. Traditional schemes to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-01-26 Robert H. Cole , Jonathan R. Gair

An exploit of the Sequential Importance Sampling (SIS) algorithm using Differential Algebra (DA) techniques is derived to develop an efficient particle filter. The filter creates an original kind of particles, called scout particles, that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Simone Servadio

Bayesian inference can often be sensitive to the choice of hyperparameters of the prior or likelihood, yet defining and quantifying this sensitivity in a principled and computationally feasible way remains challenging in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Arina Odnoblyudova , Charita Dellaporta , François-Xavier Briol

We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-09 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Henrik Ohlsson

We present a novel model for text complexity analysis which can be fitted to ordered categorical data measured on multiple scales, e.g. a corpus with binary responses mixed with a corpus with more than two ordered outcomes. The multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-13 Johan Falkenjack , Mattias Villani , Arne Jönsson

Biomedical studies have a common interest in assessing relationships between multiple related health outcomes and high-dimensional predictors. For example, in reproductive epidemiology, one may collect pregnancy outcomes such as length of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson , Allison E. Ashley-Koch

This paper considers the problem of the distributed fusion of multi-object posteriors in the labeled random finite set filtering framework, using Generalized Covariance Intersection (GCI) method. Our analysis shows that GCI fusion with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Suqi Li , Wei Yi , Reza Hoseinnezhad , Giorgio Battistelli , Bailu Wang , Lingjiang Kong

Posterior sampling in high-dimensional spaces using generative models holds significant promise for various applications, including but not limited to inverse problems and guided generation tasks. Despite many recent developments,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-04 Vishal Purohit , Matthew Repasky , Jianfeng Lu , Qiang Qiu , Yao Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng

Point estimators for the shearing of galaxy images induced by gravitational lensing involve a complex inverse problem in the presence of noise, pixelization, and model uncertainties. We present a probabilistic forward modeling approach to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Michael D. Schneider , David W. Hogg , Philip J. Marshall , William A. Dawson , Joshua Meyers , Deborah J. Bard , Dustin Lang