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Traffic signal control algorithms are vulnerable to distribution shift, where performance degrades under traffic conditions that differ from those seen during design or training. This paper introduces a principled approach to quantify…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Federico Taschin , Ozan K. Tonguz

Annually, a large number of injuries and deaths around the world are related to motor vehicle accidents. This value has recently been reduced to some extent, via the use of driver-assistance systems. Developing driver-assistance systems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Zahra Salahshoori Nejad , Hamed Heravi , Ali Rahimpour Jounghani , Abdollah Shahrezaie , Afshin Ebrahimi

Human trajectory prediction is typically posed as a zero-shot generalization problem: a predictor is learnt on a dataset of human motion in training scenes, and then deployed on unseen test scenes. While this paradigm has yielded tremendous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Neerja Thakkar , Karttikeya Mangalam , Andrea Bajcsy , Jitendra Malik

Despite their successes, deep neural networks may make unreliable predictions when faced with test data drawn from a distribution different to that of the training data, constituting a major problem for AI safety. While this has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Erik Daxberger , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

This paper investigates the problem of tracking solutions of stochastic optimization problems with time-varying costs that depend on random variables with decision-dependent distributions. In this context, we propose the use of an online…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Killian Wood , Gianluca Bianchin , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Trajectory forecasting is crucial for video surveillance analytics, as it enables the anticipation of future movements for a set of agents, e.g. basketball players engaged in intricate interactions with long-term intentions. Deep generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Riccardo Benaglia , Angelo Porrello , Pietro Buzzega , Simone Calderara , Rita Cucchiara

LiDAR point clouds collected from a moving vehicle are functions of its trajectories, because the sensor motion needs to be compensated to avoid distortions. When autonomous vehicles are sending LiDAR point clouds to deep networks for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Yiming Li , Congcong Wen , Felix Juefei-Xu , Chen Feng

When machine learning models encounter data which is out of the distribution on which they were trained they have a tendency to behave poorly, most prominently over-confidence in erroneous predictions. Such behaviours will have disastrous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Jack Dymond

We propose a novel framework for analyzing the dynamics of distribution shift in real-world systems that captures the feedback loop between learning algorithms and the distributions on which they are deployed. Prior work largely models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Lauren Conger , Franca Hoffmann , Eric Mazumdar , Lillian Ratliff

Trajectory prediction is confronted with the dilemma to capture the multi-modal nature of future dynamics with both diversity and accuracy. In this paper, we present a distribution discrimination (DisDis) method to predict personalized…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Nuoxing Zhou , Liangliang Ren , Jiwen Lu

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xudong Zheng , Yuecai Han

Trajectory planning in autonomous driving is highly dependent on predicting the emergent behavior of other road users. Learning-based methods are currently showing impressive results in simulation-based challenges, with transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lars Ullrich , Alex McMaster , Knut Graichen

In automated driving, predicting trajectories of surrounding vehicles supports reasoning about scene dynamics and enables safe planning for the ego vehicle. However, existing models handle predictions as an instantaneous task of forecasting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Steffen Hagedorn , Aron Distelzweig , Marcel Hallgarten , Alexandru P. Condurache

This paper proposes a prediction-based gradient compression method for distributed learning with event-triggered communication. Our goal is to reduce the amount of information transmitted from the distributed agents to the parameter server…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Adrian Edin , Zheng Chen , Michel Kieffer , Mikael Johansson

The generalization ability of machine learning models degrades significantly when the test distribution shifts away from the training distribution. We investigate the problem of training models that are robust to shifts caused by changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Jiaheng Wei , Harikrishna Narasimhan , Ehsan Amid , Wen-Sheng Chu , Yang Liu , Abhishek Kumar

We present a machine learning approach for estimating the second derivative of a drivable surface, its roughness. Robot perception generally focuses on the first derivative, obstacle detection. However, the second derivative is also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-07-02 David Stavens , Sebastian Thrun

The inherently diverse and uncertain nature of trajectories presents a formidable challenge in accurately modeling them. Motion prediction systems must effectively learn spatial and temporal information from the past to forecast the future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Pranav Singh Chib , Pravendra Singh

Accurate prediction of surrounding road users' trajectories is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. While deep learning models have improved performance, challenges remain in preventing off-road predictions and ensuring…