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Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

This paper concerns the problem of matrix completion, which is to estimate a matrix from observations in a small subset of indices. We propose a calibrated spectrum elastic net method with a sum of the nuclear and Frobenius penalties and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-13 Tingni Sun , Cun-Hui Zhang

We consider a novel pricing and advertising framework, where a seller not only sets product price but also designs flexible 'advertising schemes' to influence customers' valuation of the product. We impose no structural restriction on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Shipra Agrawal , Yiding Feng , Wei Tang

This paper applies computational techniques of convex stochastic optimization to optimal operation and valuation of electricity storages in the face of uncertain electricity prices. Our valuations are based on the indifference pricing…

We study the dynamic pricing problem where the demand function is nonparametric and H\"older smooth, and we focus on adaptivity to the unknown H\"older smoothness parameter $\beta$ of the demand function. Traditionally the optimal dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Zeqi Ye , Hansheng Jiang

Many online companies sell advertisement space in second-price auctions with reserve. In this paper, we develop a probabilistic method to learn a profitable strategy to set the reserve price. We use historical auction data with features to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-25 Maja R. Rudolph , Joseph G. Ellis , David M. Blei

We study online optimization problems in which the cost function depends on latent, time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and governed by unknown dynamics. Specifically, we consider a strongly convex cost function whose linear term…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Shivanshu Tripathi , Maziar Raissi

We study the optimal liquidation problem in a market model where the bid price follows a geometric pure jump process whose local characteristics are driven by an unobservable finite-state Markov chain and by the liquidation rate. This model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi , Rüdiger Frey , Michaela Szölgyenyi

Demand response (DR) has been demonstrated to be an effective method for reducing peak load and mitigating uncertainties on both the supply and demand sides of the electricity market. One critical question for DR research is how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jun Song , Chaoyue Zhao

We study the problem of a seller dynamically pricing $d$ distinct types of indivisible goods, when faced with the online arrival of unit-demand buyers drawn independently from an unknown distribution. The goods are not in limited supply,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-13 Aaron Roth , Aleksandrs Slivkins , Jonathan Ullman , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices-including covariance and precision matrices-is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wan Tian , Hui Yang , Zhouhui Lian , Lingyue Zhang , Yijie Peng

We consider a high-dimensional dynamic pricing problem under non-stationarity, where a firm sells products to $T$ sequentially arriving consumers that behave according to an unknown demand model with potential changes at unknown times. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Yi Yu , Xi Chen

In many applications, data come with a natural ordering. This ordering can often induce local dependence among nearby variables. However, in complex data, the width of this dependence may vary, making simple assumptions such as a constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Guo Yu , Jacob Bien

In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-17 Johanna Bertl , Gregory Ewing , Carolin Kosiol , Andreas Futschik

We develop and analyze a set of new sequential simulation-optimization algorithms for large-scale multi-dimensional discrete optimization via simulation problems with a convexity structure. The "large-scale" notion refers to that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Haixiang Zhang , Zeyu Zheng , Javad Lavaei

This paper investigates the problem of tracking solutions of stochastic optimization problems with time-varying costs that depend on random variables with decision-dependent distributions. In this context, we propose the use of an online…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Killian Wood , Gianluca Bianchin , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Studies looking at electricity market designs for very high shares of wind and solar often conclude that the energy-only market will break down. Without fuel costs, it is said that there is nothing to set prices. Symptoms of breakdown…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann , Iegor Riepin

According to the fundamental theorems of welfare economics, any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Unfortunately, competitive equilibrium prices only exist under strong assumptions such as perfectly divisible goods and convex…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Johannes Knörr

We consider the revenue management problem of finding profit-maximising prices for delivery time slots in the context of attended home delivery. This multi-stage optimal control problem admits a dynamic programming formulation that is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Denis Lebedev , Kostas Margellos , Paul Goulart

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar