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Magnet errors in storage rings significantly degrade beam performance, impacting the brightness and stability of the light source. Therefore, beam-based correction is crucial for the safe operation of machines and the stability of radiated…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 Jianhao Xu

This study investigates the integration of forecasting and optimization in energy management systems, with a focus on the role of switching costs -- penalties incurred from frequent operational adjustments. We develop a theoretical and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-16 Evgenii Genov , Julian Ruddick , Christoph Bergmeir , Majid Vafaeipour , Thierry Coosemans , Salvador Garcia , Maarten Messagie

Probabilistic and intermittent output power of wind turbines (WT) is one major inconsistency of WTs. Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) are a suitable solution to mitigate this intermittency which use to smoothen the output power…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-29 Bahman Khaki , Pritam Das

Accurate electricity price forecasting is critical for strategic decision-making in deregulated electricity markets, where volatility stems from complex supply-demand dynamics and external factors. Traditional point forecasts often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting. However, they often struggle to forecast congestion accurately due to the limitations of traditional loss functions. While accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Yangxinyu Xie , Tanwi Mallick

This article proposes an optimization problem formulation to find the optimal sizes of Photovoltaics (PV) and Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) for individual participants within the context of the Renewable Energy Community (REC). An…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-20 Vishal Kachhad , Amit Joshi , Luigi Glielmo

This paper examines the relationship between system imbalance and several explanatory variables within the French electricity system. The factors considered include lagged imbalance values, observations of renewable energy sources (RES)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-14 Jonathan Dumas , Sébastien Finet , Nathalie Grisey , Ibtissam Hamdane , Paul Plessiez

Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mizuki Funato , Yohei Sawada

This study investigates a robust screening problem under distributional ambiguity, where a seller is uncertain about a buyer's true valuation distribution, knowing only that it lies near a reference distribution measured by the Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Shumin Ma , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Lijian Lu

Traditional long-term microgrid planning models assume constant power charging for battery energy storage systems (BESS), overlooking efficiency losses that occur toward the end of charge due to rising internal resistance. While this issue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Hassan Zahid Butt , Xingpeng Li

To accommodate the changes in the nature and pattern of electricity consumption with the available resources, utility companies have introduced a variety of rate structures over the years. This paper develops a comprehensive optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-21 A S M Jahid Hasan , Jubair Yusuf , Sadrul Ula

Aleatoric uncertainty captures the inherent randomness of the data, such as measurement noise. In Bayesian regression, we often use a Gaussian observation model, where we control the level of aleatoric uncertainty with a noise variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Sanyam Kapoor , Wesley J. Maddox , Pavel Izmailov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Collusion and capacity withholding in electricity wholesale markets are important mechanisms of market manipulation. This study applies a refined machine learning-based cartel detection algorithm to two cartel cases in the Italian…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-02 Jeremy Proz , Martin Huber

Calibration is defined as the ratio of the average predicted click rate to the true click rate. The optimization of calibration is essential to many online advertising recommendation systems because it directly affects the downstream bids…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Yewen Fan , Nian Si , Kun Zhang

The rapid growth of weather-dependent renewable generation increases price volatility and imbalance penalty risk in power markets, creating the need for advanced quantitative trading strategies. We develop a data-driven continuous-time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Michael Samet , Raúl Tempone

Data-driven weather forecast based on machine learning (ML) has experienced rapid development and demonstrated superior performance in the global medium-range forecast compared to traditional physics-based dynamical models. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Wanghan Xu , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Hao Chen , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Autoregressive scientific forecasters often enforce physical or structural constraints by repairing each predicted state before feeding it back into the model. However, it remains unclear when stronger physical rule enforcement becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Bum Jun Kim

Meta-backscatter system that utilizes meta-material sensors is a promising enabler for future environmental sensing, offering distinct advantages such as low cost, zero-power consumption, and robustness. Specifically, the electromagnetic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Mengyuan Cao , Xu Liu , Hongliang Zhang

LLM decoding often relies on the model's predictive distribution to generate an output. Consequently, misalignment with respect to the true generating distribution leads to suboptimal decisions in practice. While a natural solution is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Tim Tomov , Dominik Fuchsgruber , Rajeev Verma , Stephan Günnemann

Electricity prices and the end user net load vary with time. Electricity consumers equipped with energy storage devices can perform energy arbitrage, i.e., buy when energy is cheap or when there is a deficit of energy, and sell it when it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-06 Md Umar Hashmi , Arpan Mukhopadhyay , Ana Bušić , Jocelyne Elias