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Related papers: Informativity for Data-driven Prediction

200 papers

Complex dynamical systems driven by the unravelling of information can be modelled effectively by treating the underlying flow of information as the model input. Complicated dynamical behaviour of the system is then derived as an output.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-05 Dorje C Brody

The goal of this paper is to provide a tutorial on the so-called informativity framework for direct data-driven analysis and control. This framework achieves certified data-based analysis and control by assessing system properties and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Henk J. van Waarde , Jaap Eising , M. Kanat Camlibel , Harry L. Trentelman

Effective optimization is essential for interactive systems to provide a satisfactory user experience. However, it is often challenging to find an objective to optimize for. Generally, such objectives are manually crafted and rarely capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Ziming Li , Julia Kiseleva , Alekh Agarwal , Maarten de Rijke

Data-driven predictive control based on the fundamental lemma by Willems et al. is frequently considered for deterministic LTI systems subject to measurement noise. However, little has been done on data-driven stochastic control. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-04 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

Reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty is crucial for machine learning applications, particularly in high-stakes scenarios where hedging against risks is essential. Despite its significance, there is no universal agreement on how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

Data-driven optimization uses contextual information and machine learning algorithms to find solutions to decision problems with uncertain parameters. While a vast body of work is dedicated to interpreting machine learning models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

We propose predictive information, that is information between a long past of duration T and the entire infinitely long future of a time series, as a universal order parameter to study phase transitions in physical systems. It can be used,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-04 Martin Tchernookov , Ilya Nemenman

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Information theory and the framework of information dynamics have been used to provide tools to characterise complex systems. In particular, we are interested in quantifying information storage, information modification and information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Oliver Obst , Joschka Boedecker , Benedikt Schmidt , Minoru Asada

Recent studies highlight the importance of persistently exciting condition in single signal sequence for model identification and data-driven control methodologies. However, maintaining prolonged excitation in control signals introduces…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Ao Cao , Fuyong Wang

We develop an interpolation-based framework for noisy linear systems with unknown system matrix with bounded norm (implying bounded growth or non-increasing energy), and bounded process noise energy. The proposed approach characterizes all…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Martina Vanelli , Nima Monshizadeh , Julien M. Hendrickx

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

Unknown inputs related to, e.g., sensor aging, modeling errors, or device bias, represent a major concern in wireless sensor networks, as they degrade the state estimation performance. To improve the performance, unknown-input observers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-07 Yuzhou Wei , Giorgia Disarò , Wenjie Liu , Jian Sun , Maria Elena Valcher , Gang Wang

This paper presents a tractable tube-based robust data-driven predictive control scheme that uses only a single finite noisy input-state trajectory of an unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant (LTI) system. A simplex constraint is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Chi Wang , David Angeli

A data-driven approach to calculating tight-binding models for discrete coupled-mode systems is presented. Specifically, spectral and topological data is used to build an appropriate discrete model that accurately replicates these…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-07-02 Justin T. Cole , Michael J. Nameika

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

Recently proposed data-driven predictive control schemes for LTI systems use non-parametric representations based on the image of a Hankel matrix of previously collected, persistently exciting, input-output data. Persistence of excitation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Mohammad Alsalti , Manuel Barkey , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Both the level of conservativeness and the computational burden in robust optimization are critically influenced by uncertainty set design. However, contextual side information is rarely exploited in robust dispatch of power systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Zhaojun Ruan , Yulin Liu , Le Fu , Libao Shi

This paper considers the robustness of an uncertain nonlinear system along a finite-horizon trajectory. The uncertain system is modeled as a connection of a nonlinear system and a perturbation. The analysis relies on three ingredients.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Peter Seiler , Raghu Venkataraman

The increasing ease of obtaining and processing data together with the growth in system complexity has sparked the interest in moving from conventional model-based control design towards data-driven concepts. Since in many engineering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Juan G. Rueda-Escobedo , Emilia Fridman , Johannes Schiffer