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We propose a new method for automatically detecting monotonic input-output relationships from data using Gaussian Process (GP) models with virtual derivative observations. Our results on synthetic and real datasets show that the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Eero Siivola , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

This paper presents a machine learning framework (GP-NODE) for Bayesian systems identification from partial, noisy and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

Online anomaly detection of time-series data is an important and challenging task in machine learning. Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and flexible models for modeling time-series data. However, the high time complexity of GPs limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Jingjing Fei , Shiliang Sun

An important issue in model-based control design is that an accurate dynamic model of the system is generally nonlinear, complex, and costly to obtain. This limits achievable control performance in practice. Gaussian process (GP) based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Yuhan Liu , Pengyu Wang , Roland Tóth

Maneuvering target tracking is a challenging problem for sensor systems because of the unpredictability of the targets' motions. This paper proposes a novel data-driven method for learning the dynamical motion model of a target.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

This article proposes an active-learning-based adaptive trajectory tracking control method for autonomous ground vehicles to compensate for modeling errors and unmodeled dynamics. The nominal vehicle model is decoupled into lateral and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-13 Kristóf Floch , Tamás Péni , Roland Tóth

Leveraging autonomous systems in safety-critical scenarios requires verifying their behaviors in the presence of uncertainties and black-box components that influence the system dynamics. In this work, we develop a framework for verifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-17 John Skovbekk , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

We present a straightforward and efficient way to control unstable robotic systems using an estimated dynamics model. Specifically, we show how to exploit the differentiability of Gaussian Processes to create a state-dependent linearized…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Ivan D. Jimenez Rodriguez , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames , Yisong Yue

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

We propose r-ssGPFA, an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series building on the efficient state space formulation of Gaussian processes. For high-dimensional time series, we propose an extension of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Christian Bock , François-Xavier Aubet , Jan Gasthaus , Andrey Kan , Ming Chen , Laurent Callot

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

Organizations rely heavily on time series metrics to measure and model key aspects of operational and business performance. The ability to reliably detect issues with these metrics is imperative to identifying early indicators of major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart , Luyao Yang , Kyle Buckingham

In many areas of science and engineering, discovering the governing differential equations from the noisy experimental data is an essential challenge. It is also a critical step in understanding the physical phenomena and prediction of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Jiuhai Chen , Lulu Kang , Guang Lin

Learning-based model predictive control (MPC) can enhance control performance by correcting for model inaccuracies, enabling more precise state trajectory predictions than traditional MPC. A common approach is to model unknown residual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Lars Bartels , Amon Lahr , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

By enabling constraint-aware online model adaptation, model predictive control using Gaussian process (GP) regression has exhibited impressive performance in real-world applications and received considerable attention in the learning-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Amon Lahr , Andrea Zanelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, a new model-free anomaly detection framework is proposed for time-series induced by industrial dynamical systems.The framework lies in the category of conventional approaches which enable appealing features such as a learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-13 Mazen Alamir , Raphaël Dion
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