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The e-BH procedure is an e-value-based multiple testing procedure that provably controls the false discovery rate (FDR) under any dependence structure between the e-values. Despite this appealing theoretical FDR control guarantee, the e-BH…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Junu Lee , Zhimei Ren

Reliable usage of object detectors require them to be calibrated -- a crucial problem that requires careful attention. Recent approaches towards this involve (1) designing new loss functions to obtain calibrated detectors by training them…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Selim Kuzucu , Kemal Oksuz , Jonathan Sadeghi , Puneet K. Dokania

False discovery rate (FDR) control is a popular approach for maintaining the integrity of statistical analyses, especially in high-dimensional data settings, where multiple comparisons increase the risk of false positives. FDR control has…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Fabian Scheidt , Jasin Machkour , Michael Muma

We present a novel necessary and sufficient principle for False Discovery Rate (FDR) control. This e-Partitioning Principle says that a procedure controls FDR if and only if it is a special case of a general e-Partitioning procedure. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Jelle Goeman , Rianne de Heide , Aldo Solari

There has been recent interest in extending the ideas of False Discovery Rates (FDR) to variable selection in regression settings. Traditionally the FDR in these settings has been defined in terms of the coefficients of the full regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-12 Max Grazier G'Sell , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Variable selection has been widely used in data analysis for the past decades, and it becomes increasingly important in the Big Data era as there are usually hundreds of variables available in a dataset. To enhance interpretability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Yuxiang Xie , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Multiple hypothesis testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional inference, with wide applications in many scientific fields. In genome-wide association studies, tens of thousands of tests are performed simultaneously to find if any…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-16 Jianqing Fan , Xu Han , Weijie Gu

Post-hoc calibration methods are widely used to improve the reliability of probabilistic predictions from machine learning models. Despite their prevalence, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of these methods remains elusive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kristina P. Sinaga , Arjun S. Nair

In the multiple testing problem with independent tests, the classical linear step-up procedure controls the false discovery rate (FDR) at level $\pi_0\alpha$, where $\pi_0$ is the proportion of true null hypotheses and $\alpha$ is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Peter MacDonald , Kun Liang , Arnold Janssen

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We propose the use of a new false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedure as a model selection penalized method, and compare its performance to that of other penalized methods over a wide range of realistic settings: nonorthogonal design…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-19 Yoav Benjamini , Yulia Gavrilov

The problem of selecting a handful of truly relevant variables in supervised machine learning algorithms is a challenging problem in terms of untestable assumptions that must hold and unavailability of theoretical assurances that selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) is a new statistical procedure to control the number of mistakes made when performing multiple hypothesis tests, i.e. when comparing many data against a given model hypothesis. The key advantage of FDR is that…

Epigenetics plays a crucial role in understanding the underlying molecular processes of several types of cancer as well as the determination of innovative therapeutic tools. To investigate the complex interplay between genetics and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Iris Ivy Gauran , Patrick Wincy Reyes , Erniel Barrios , Hernando Ombao

We propose a ranking and selection procedure to prioritize relevant predictors and control false discovery proportion (FDP) of variable selection. Our procedure utilizes a new ranking method built upon the de-sparsified Lasso estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-12 X. Jessie Jeng , Xiongzhi Chen

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Decision making or scientific discovery pipelines such as job hiring and drug discovery often involve multiple stages: before any resource-intensive step, there is often an initial screening that uses predictions from a machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

Modern deep learning based classifiers show very high accuracy on test data but this does not provide sufficient guarantees for safe deployment, especially in high-stake AI applications such as medical diagnosis. Usually, predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 David Stutz , Krishnamurthy , Dvijotham , Ali Taylan Cemgil , Arnaud Doucet

Much effort has been done to control the "false discovery rate" (FDR) when $m$ hypotheses are tested simultaneously. The FDR is the expectation of the "false discovery proportion" $\text{FDP}=V/R$ given by the ratio of the number of false…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Marc Ditzhaus , Arnold Janssen

Large language models (LLMs) need reliable test-time control of hallucinations. Existing conformal methods for LLMs typically provide only \emph{marginal} guarantees and rely on a single global threshold, which can under-cover hard prompts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Kai Ye , Qingtao Pan , Shuo Li