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Recent years have witnessed the success of adaptive (or unified) approaches in estimating symmetric properties of discrete distributions, where one first obtains a distribution estimator independent of the target property, and then plugs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Yanjun Han

Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

A $G$-normal random variable $X\sim \mathcal{N}(0,[\underline{\sigma}^2,\overline{\sigma}^2])$ does not admit a unique probability law due to volatility uncertainty. For a given test function $\phi$, the $G$-expectation admits the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Ziting Pei , Shige Peng , Xingye Yue , Xiaotao Zheng

We provide sharp worst-case evaluation complexity bounds for nonconvex minimization problems with general inexpensive constraints, i.e.\ problems where the cost of evaluating/enforcing of the (possibly nonconvex or even disconnected)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Coralia Cartis , Nick I. M. Gould , Philippe L. Toint

We study statistical properties of the optimal value of the Sample Average Approximation. The focus is on the tail function of the absolute error induced by the Sample Average Approximation, deriving upper estimates of its outcomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Volker Krätschmer

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

We consider the problem of choosing design parameters to minimize the probability of an undesired rare event that is described through the average of $n$ iid random variables. Since the probability of interest for near optimal design…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Amarjit Budhiraja , Shu Lu , Yang Yu , Quoc Tran-Dinh

We introduce a new method for solving nonlinear continuous optimization problems with chance constraints. Our method is based on a reformulation of the probabilistic constraint as a quantile function. The quantile function is approximated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Alejandra Peña-Ordieres , James R. Luedtke , Andreas Wächter

A general notion of bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates constructed by exchangeably weighting sample is introduced. Asymptotic properties of these generalized bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates are obtained, by mean of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Mohamed Cherfi

Several classical adaptive optimization algorithms, such as line search and trust region methods, have been recently extended to stochastic settings where function values, gradients, and Hessians in some cases, are estimated via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Billy Jin , Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

We consider the non-parametric Poisson regression problem where the integer valued response $Y$ is the realization of a Poisson random variable with parameter $\lambda(X)$. The aim is to estimate the functional parameter $\lambda$ from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Martin Kroll

We consider the problem of estimating a $d$-dimensional $s$-sparse discrete distribution from its samples observed under a $b$-bit communication constraint. The best-known previous result on $\ell_2$ estimation error for this problem is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-17 Wei-Ning Chen , Peter Kairouz , Ayfer Özgür

Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, heterogeneity stemming from people's cognitive or information diversity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-14 Ville A. Satopää , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Kernel quadrature is widely used to approximate integrals of smooth functions, with worst-case error typically decaying at the minimax rate $n^{-\alpha/d}$ for smoothness $\alpha$ in dimension $d$. Existing rate-optimal methods often depend…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Edoardo Bandoni , Christian Robert , Julien Stoehr

Design of experiments, random search, initialization of population-based methods, or sampling inside an epoch of an evolutionary algorithm use a sample drawn according to some probability distribution for approximating the location of an…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Laurent Meunier , Carola Doerr , Jeremy Rapin , Olivier Teytaud

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

Estimating the dependences between random variables, and ranking them accordingly, is a prevalent problem in machine learning. Pursuing frequentist and information-theoretic approaches, we first show that the p-value and the mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Harald Steck

Learning the minimum/maximum mean among a finite set of distributions is a fundamental sub-task in planning, game tree search and reinforcement learning. We formalize this learning task as the problem of sequentially testing how the minimum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Emilie Kaufmann , Wouter Koolen , Aurelien Garivier

We study some notions of negative dependence of a sampling scheme that can be used to derive variance bounds for the corresponding estimator or discrepancy bounds for the underlying random point set that are at least as good as the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Michael Gnewuch , Marcin Wnuk , Nils Hebbinghaus

The aim of this paper is to provide several novel upper bounds on the excess risk with a primal focus on classification problems. We suggest two approaches and the obtained bounds are represented via the distribution dependent local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Nikita Zhivotovskiy