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We develop a statistical theory of temporal learnability in recurrent neural networks, quantifying the maximal temporal horizon $\mathcal{H}_N$ over which gradient-based learning can recover lag-dependent structure at finite sample size…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Lorenzo Livi

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei

In an era of information explosion, recommendation systems play an important role in people's daily life by facilitating content exploration. It is known that user activeness, i.e., number of behaviors, tends to follow a long-tail…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zheqi Lv , Feng Wang , Shengyu Zhang , Kun Kuang , Hongxia Yang , Fei Wu

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

Policy alignment of large language models refers to constrained policy optimization, where the policy is optimized to maximize a reward while staying close to a reference policy with respect to an $f$-divergence such as the $\mathsf{KL}$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Youssef Mroueh

Current long-tailed semi-supervised learning methods assume that labeled data exhibit a long-tailed distribution, and unlabeled data adhere to a typical predefined distribution (i.e., long-tailed, uniform, or inverse long-tailed). However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Yaxin Hou , Bo Han , Yuheng Jia , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou

Many complex networks in natural and social phenomena have often been characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, due to rapidly growing size of network data and concerns on privacy issues about using these data, it becomes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Young-Ho Eom , Hang-Hyun Jo

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

We propose a Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence directly from observed joint success frequencies across founder, geography, and market attributes. Holding marginal deal success probabilities fixed, deal-level…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Yunqi Liang , Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

Data privacy and class imbalance are the norm rather than the exception in many machine learning tasks. Recent attempts have been launched to, on one side, address the problem of learning from pervasive private data, and on the other side,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Zihan Chen , Songshang Liu , Hualiang Wang , Howard H. Yang , Tony Q. S. Quek , Zuozhu Liu

We consider a priori generalization bounds developed in terms of cross-validation estimates and the stability of learners. In particular, we first derive an exponential Efron-Stein type tail inequality for the concentration of a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Karim Abou-Moustafa , Csaba Szepesvari

Traditional implicit generative models are capable of learning highly complex data distributions. However, their training involves distinguishing real data from synthetically generated data using adversarial discriminators, which can lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 José Manuel de Frutos , Manuel A. Vázquez , Pablo Olmos , Joaquín Míguez

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Enrique F. Castillo , Cristina Solares , Patricia Gomez

We study the generalization properties of unregularized gradient methods applied to separable linear classification -- a setting that has received considerable attention since the pioneering work of Soudry et al. (2018). We establish tight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Matan Schliserman , Tomer Koren

We study stochastic convex optimization with heavy-tailed data under the constraint of differential privacy (DP). Most prior work on this problem is restricted to the case where the loss function is Lipschitz. Instead, as introduced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Gautam Kamath , Xingtu Liu , Huanyu Zhang

Generalization error bounds are essential to understanding machine learning algorithms. This paper presents novel expected generalization error upper bounds based on the average joint distribution between the output hypothesis and each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Gholamali Aminian , Yuheng Bu , Gregory Wornell , Miguel Rodrigues

Given finite-dimensional random vectors $Y$, $X$, and $Z$ that form a Markov chain in that order (i.e., $Y \to X \to Z$), we derive upper bounds on the excess minimum risk using generalized information divergence measures. Here, $Y$ is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ananya Omanwar , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

Rare events, and more general risk-sensitive quantities-of-interest (QoIs), are significantly impacted by uncertainty in the tail behavior of a distribution. Uncertainty in the tail can take many different forms, each of which leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson
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