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The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

This paper introduces the Fractal-Chaotic Oscillation Co-driven (FCOC) framework, a novel paradigm for financial volatility forecasting that systematically resolves the dual challenges of feature fidelity and model responsiveness. FCOC…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Yilong Zeng , Boyan Tang , Xuanhao Ren , Sherry Zhefang Zhou , Jianghua Wu , Raymond Lee

This paper studies a very flexible model that can be used widely to analyze the relation between a response and multiple covariates. The model is nonparametric, yet renders easy interpretation for the effects of the covariates. The model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

High-dimensional covariates often admit linear factor structure. To effectively screen correlated covariates in high-dimension, we propose a conditional variable screening test based on non-parametric regression using neural networks due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-21 Jianqing Fan , Weining Wang , Yue Zhao

Global Fr\'echet regression is addressed from the observation of a strictly stationary bivariate curve process, evaluated in a finite--dimensional compact differentiable Riemannian manifold, with bounded positive smooth sectional curvature.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 A. Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

Nonparametric random coefficient (RC)-density estimation has mostly been considered in the marginal density case under strict independence of RCs and covariates. This paper deals with the estimation of RC-densities conditional on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-21 Stephan Martin

Federated Continual Learning (FCL) has emerged as a robust solution for collaborative model training in dynamic environments, where data samples are continuously generated and distributed across multiple devices. This survey provides a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Parisa Hamedi , Roozbeh Razavi-Far , Ehsan Hallaji

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free technique for establishing valid prediction intervals. Although conventionally people conduct conformal prediction in the output space, this is not the only possibility. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiaye Teng , Chuan Wen , Dinghuai Zhang , Yoshua Bengio , Yang Gao , Yang Yuan

I introduce Forecastable Component Analysis (ForeCA), a novel dimension reduction technique for temporally dependent signals. Based on a new forecastability measure, ForeCA finds an optimal transformation to separate a multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-07 Georg M. Goerg

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Given $m$ $d$-dimensional responsors and $n$ $d$-dimensional predictors, sparse regression finds at most $k$ predictors for each responsor for linear approximation, $1\leq k \leq d-1$. The key problem in sparse regression is subset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Jianji Wang , Qi Liu , Shupei Zhang , Nanning Zheng , Fei-Yue Wang

A first step when fitting multilevel models to continuous responses is to explore the degree of clustering in the data. Researchers fit variance-component models and then report the proportion of variation in the response that is due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 George Leckie , William Browne , Harvey Goldstein , Juan Merlo , Peter Austin

Data consisting of samples of probability density functions are increasingly prevalent, necessitating the development of methodologies for their analysis that respect the inherent nonlinearities associated with densities. In many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Alexander Petersen , Xi Liu , Afshin A. Divani

This work resolves the following question in non-Euclidean statistics: Is it possible to consistently estimate the Fr\'echet mean set of an unknown population distribution, with respect to the Hausdorff metric, when given access to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Moise Blanchard , Adam Quinn Jaffe

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Estimating the proportion of signals hidden in a large amount of noise variables is of interest in many scientific inquires. In this paper, we consider realistic but theoretically challenging settings with arbitrary covariance dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-12 X. Jessie Jeng

One challenge in exploratory association studies using observational data is that the associations between the predictors and the outcome are potentially weak and rare, and the candidate predictors have complex correlation structures. False…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Runqiu Wang , Ran Dai , Hongying Dai , Evan French , Cheng Zheng

Classical regression analysis relates the expectation of a response variable to a linear combination of explanatory variables. In this article, we propose a covariance regression model that parameterizes the covariance matrix of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-01 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu
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