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We present diffusion-convolutional neural networks (DCNNs), a new model for graph-structured data. Through the introduction of a diffusion-convolution operation, we show how diffusion-based representations can be learned from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-11 James Atwood , Don Towsley

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

AI-based systems, such as Google's GenCast, have recently redefined the state of the art in weather forecasting, offering more accurate and timely predictions of both everyday weather and extreme events. While these systems are on the verge…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Erik Imgrund , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Konrad Rieck

As we deal with the effects of climate change and the increase of global atmospheric temperatures, the accurate tracking and prediction of ice layers within polar ice sheets grows in importance. Studying these ice layers reveals climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Benjamin Zalatan , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Traffic forecasting approaches are critical to developing adaptive strategies for mobility. Traffic patterns have complex spatial and temporal dependencies that make accurate forecasting on large highway networks a challenging task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Eric Rask , Jane Macfarlane

Urban wind flow modeling and simulation play an important role in air quality assessment and sustainable city planning. A key challenge for modeling and simulation is handling the complex geometries of the urban landscape. Low order models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Francisco Giral , Álvaro Manzano , Ignacio Gómez , Petros Koumoutsakos , Soledad Le Clainche

Climate events arise from intricate, multivariate dynamics governed by global-scale drivers, profoundly impacting food, energy, and infrastructure. Yet, accurate weather prediction remains elusive due to physical processes unfolding across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Thomas Bailie , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh

Neural diffusion processes provide a scalable, non-Gaussian approach to modelling distributions over functions, but existing formulations are limited to single-task inference and do not capture dependencies across related tasks. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Joseph Rawson , Domniki Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

Renewable resources are strongly dependent on local and large-scale weather situations. Skillful subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts -- beyond two weeks and up to two months -- can offer significant socioeconomic advantages to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Maximilian Springenberg , Noelia Otero , Yuxin Xue , Jackie Ma

Recent advances in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have revolutionized graph-structured data modeling, yet traditional GNNs struggle with complex heterogeneous structures prevalent in real-world scenarios. Despite progress in handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Zongwei Li , Lianghao Xia , Hua Hua , Shijie Zhang , Shuangyang Wang , Chao Huang

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Localizing the source of graph diffusion phenomena, such as misinformation propagation, is an important yet extremely challenging task. Existing source localization models typically are heavily dependent on the hand-crafted rules.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junxiang Wang , Junji Jiang , Liang Zhao

Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

This work examines the problem of graph learning over a diffusion network when data can be collected from a limited portion of the network (partial observability). The main question is to establish technical guarantees of consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-08 Vincenzo Matta , Augusto Santos , Ali H. Sayed

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar data plays a crucial role in extreme weather prediction and has broad implications for disaster management. Despite progresses have been made based on deep learning, two key challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Peng Ye , Wanghan Xu , Na Liu , Jianhua Dai , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

Machine learning models have been employed to perform either physics-free data-driven or hybrid dynamical downscaling of climate data. Most of these implementations operate over relatively small downscaling factors because of the challenge…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-24 Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Yan Feng

The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Convolutional neural network (CNN) have proven its success for semantic segmentation, which is a core task of emerging industrial applications such as autonomous driving. However, most progress in semantic segmentation of urban scenes is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Jiawei Chen , Yuexiang Li , Kai Ma , Yefeng Zheng
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