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In parametric estimation of covariance function of Gaussian processes, it is often the case that the true covariance function does not belong to the parametric set used for estimation. This situation is called the misspecified case. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-13 François Bachoc

Propensity score matching (PSM) is a pseudo-experimental method that uses statistical techniques to construct an artificial control group by matching each treated unit with one or more untreated units of similar characteristics. To date,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

Training large-scale mixture of experts models efficiently on modern hardware requires assigning datapoints in a batch to different experts, each with a limited capacity. Recently proposed assignment procedures lack a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Wouter Kool , Chris J. Maddison , Andriy Mnih

Estimation of extreme-value parameters from observations in the max-domain of attraction (MDA) of a multivariate max-stable distribution commonly uses aggregated data such as block maxima. Since we expect that additional information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-26 Sebastian Engelke , Alexander Malinowski , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

Maximum margin binary classification is one of the most fundamental algorithms in machine learning, yet the role of featurization maps and the high-dimensional asymptotics of the misclassification error for non-Gaussian features are still…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Andrea Montanari , Feng Ruan , Basil Saeed , Youngtak Sohn

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

We consider statistical inference for a class of mixed-effects models with system noise described by a non-Gaussian integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the asymptotics where the number of individuals goes to infinity with possibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda

This paper deals with a general class of transformation models that contains many important semiparametric regression models as special cases. It develops a self-induced smoothing for the maximum rank correlation estimator, resulting in…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-28 Junyi Zhang , Zhezhen Jin , Yongzhao Shao , Zhiliang Ying

This paper deals with the Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of the max statistic in high dimensions. This statistic takes the form of the maximum over components of the sum of independent random vectors and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato , Yuta Koike

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

Many works in statistics aim at designing a universal estimation procedure, that is, an estimator that would converge to the best approximation of the (unknown) data generating distribution in a model, without any assumption on this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina