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The estimation of non-Gaussian measurement noise models is a significant challenge across various fields. In practical applications, it often faces challenges due to the large number of parameters and high computational complexity. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-25 Zuxuan Zhang , Gang Wang , Jiacheng He , Shan Zhong

Variational inference with natural-gradient descent often shows fast convergence in practice, but its theoretical convergence guarantees have been challenging to establish. This is true even for the simplest cases that involve concave…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Navish Kumar , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Aurelien Lucchi

The Kalman Filter (KF) parameters are traditionally determined by noise estimation, since under the KF assumptions, the state prediction errors are minimized when the parameters correspond to the noise covariance. However, noise estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Ido Greenberg , Shie Mannor , Netanel Yannay

In this paper, a Bayesian inference technique based on Taylor series approximation of the logarithm of the likelihood function is presented. The proposed approximation is devised for the case, where the prior distribution belongs to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-06 Tohid Ardeshiri , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

Can stochastic gradient methods track a moving target? We study the problem of tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and possible model misspecification. Gradient-based filters update the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Simon Donker van Heel , Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

The projection filter is one of the approximations to the solution of the optimal filtering problem. It approximates the filtering density by projecting the dynamics of the square-root filtering density onto the tangent space of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Muhammad Fuady Emzir

Bayesian decision theory provides an elegant framework for acting optimally under uncertainty when tractable posterior distributions are available. Modern Bayesian models, however, typically involve intractable posteriors that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Meet P. Vadera , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng , Benjamin M. Marlin

We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-09 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Henrik Ohlsson

Bayesian inference offers a robust framework for updating prior beliefs based on new data using Bayes' theorem, but exact inference is often computationally infeasible, necessitating approximate methods. Though widely used, these methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Xu-Hui Zhou , Zhuo-Ran Liu , Heng Xiao

Kalman filtering is a widely used framework for Bayesian estimation. The partitioned update Kalman filter applies a Kalman filter update in parts so that the most linear parts of measurements are applied first. In this paper, we generalize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Matti Raitoharju , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

Few real-world systems are amenable to truly Bayesian filtering; nonlinearities and non-Gaussian noises can wreak havoc on filters that rely on linearization and Gaussian uncertainty approximations. This article presents the Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Kristen Michaelson , Andrey A. Popov , Renato Zanetti

Gaussian multiplicative noise is commonly used as a stochastic regularisation technique in training of deterministic neural networks. A recent paper reinterpreted the technique as a specific algorithm for approximate inference in Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 Jiri Hron , Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Gradient regularization (GR) has been shown to improve the generalizability of trained models. While Natural Gradient Descent has been shown to accelerate optimization in the initial phase of training, little attention has been paid to how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Satya Prakash Dash , Hossein Abdi , Wei Pan , Samuel Kaski , Mingfei Sun

Matrix completion aims to predict missing elements in a partially observed data matrix which in typical applications, such as collaborative filtering, is large and extremely sparsely observed. A standard solution is matrix factorization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Xiangju Qin , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

We consider the problem of continuous quantum error correction from a Bayesian perspective, proposing a pair of digital filters using logarithmic probabilities that are able to achieve near-optimal performance on a three-qubit bit-flip…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-20 Ian Convy , K. Birgitta Whaley

We consider Bayesian inference for large scale inverse problems, where computational challenges arise from the need for repeated evaluations of an expensive forward model. This renders most Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches infeasible,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper focuses on inverse problems to identify parameters by incorporating information from measurements. These generally ill-posed problems are formulated here in a probabilistic setting based on Bayes's theorem because it leads to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jaroslav Vondřejc , Hermann G. Matthies
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