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This paper studies a risk minimization problem with decision dependent data distribution. The problem pertains to the performative prediction setting in which a trained model can affect the outcome estimated by the model. Such dependency…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

We tackle the problem of high-dimensional nonparametric density estimation by taking the class of log-concave densities on $\mathbb{R}^p$ and incorporating within it symmetry assumptions, which facilitate scalable estimation algorithms and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

Motion planning under uncertainty is essential for reliable robot operation. Despite substantial advances over the past decade, the problem remains difficult for systems with complex dynamics. Most state-of-the-art methods perform search…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Marcus Hoerger , Hanna Kurniawati , Alberto Elfes

Stochastic port-Hamiltonian systems represent open dynamical systems with dissipation, inputs, and stochastic forcing in an energy based form. We introduce stochastic port-Hamiltonian neural networks, SPH-NNs, which parameterize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luca Di Persio , Matthias Ehrhardt , Youness Outaleb

Stochastic Gumbel graph networks are proposed to learn high-dimensional time series, where the observed dimensions are often spatially correlated. To that end, the observed randomness and spatial-correlations are captured by learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jin Guo , Ting Gao , Yufu Lan , Peng Zhang , Sikun Yang , Jinqiao Duan

In a differential approach elaborated, we study the evolution of the parameters of Gaussian, mixed, continuous variable density matrices, whose dynamics are given by Hermitian Hamiltonians expressed as quadratic forms of the position and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-26 Julio A. López-Saldívar , Margarita A. Man'ko , Vladimir I. Man'ko

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

The non-Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator is frequently used in GARCH models with intension to improve the efficiency of the GARCH parameters. However, unless the quasi-likelihood happens to be the true one, non-Gaussian QMLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-15 Lei Qi , Dacheng Xiu , Jianqing Fan

We propose a new model for regression and dependence analysis when addressing spatial data with possibly heavy tails and an asymmetric marginal distribution. We first propose a stationary process with $t$ marginals obtained through scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , R. B. Arellano Valle , V. Morales-Onñate

We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

This paper proposes a method for set-valued state estimation of nonlinear, discrete-time systems. This is achieved by combining graphs of functions representing system dynamics and measurements with the hybrid zonotope set representation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Jacob A. Siefert , Andrew F. Thompson , Jonah J. Glunt , Herschel C. Pangborn

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

In this paper, we consider a partially linear model of the form $Y_t=X_t^{\tau}\theta_0+g(V_t)+\epsilon_t$, $t=1,...,n$, where $\{V_t\}$ is a $\beta$ null recurrent Markov chain, $\{X_t\}$ is a sequence of either strictly stationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jia Chen , Jiti Gao , Degui Li

GNM: The MCMC Jagger. A rocking awesome sampler. This python package is an affine invariant Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler based on the dynamic Gauss-Newton-Metropolis (GNM) algorithm. The GNM algorithm is specialized in sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-13 Mehmet Ugurbil

We present a new methodology for studying non-Hamiltonian nonlinear systems based on an information theoretic extension of a renormalization group technique using a modified maximum entropy principle. We obtain a rigorous dimensionally…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-06-28 M. Schmuck , M. Pradas , S. Kalliadasis , G. A. Pavliotis

We study the behavior of a nonlinear semiclassical system using Shannon entropy and two approaches to statistical complexity. These systems involve the interaction between classical variables (representing the environment) and quantum ones.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Gaspar Gonzalez , Andrés M. Kowalski

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn