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In highly nonlinear systems such as the ones commonly found in astrodynamics, Gaussian distributions generally evolve into non-Gaussian distributions. This paper introduces a method for effectively controlling non-Gaussian distributions in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Daniel C. Qi , Kenshiro Oguri , Puneet Singla , Maruthi R. Akella

It is well known that the minimax rates of convergence of nonparametric density and regression function estimation of a random variable measured with error is much slower than the rate in the error free case. Surprisingly, we show that if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Raymond J. Carroll

In this work, we examine sampling problems with non-smooth potentials. We propose a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from non-smooth potentials. We provide a non-asymptotical analysis of our algorithm and establish a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jiaming Liang , Yongxin Chen

Using a non-perturbative method developed in a previous work (paper II), we derive the probability distribution $P(\delta_R)$ of the density contrast within spherical cells in the quasi-linear regime for some non-Gaussian initial…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 P. Valageas

This paper introduces a method for predicting the likely behaviors of continuous nonlinear systems in equilibrium in which the input values can vary. The method uses a parameterized equation model and a lower bound on the input joint…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Alexander Yeh

Nonlinear stochastic motion presents significant challenges for Bayesian particle tracking. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a framework to construct an invertible transformation that maps the nonlinear state-space model (SSM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Yonatan L. Ashenafi

Stochastic Galerkin methods can quantify uncertainty at a fraction of the computational expense of conventional Monte Carlo techniques, but such methods have rarely been studied for modelling shallow water flows. Existing stochastic shallow…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-16 James Shaw , Georges Kesserwani

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

While score-based generative models (SGMs) have achieved remarkable success in enormous image generation tasks, their mathematical foundations are still limited. In this paper, we analyze the approximation and generalization of SGMs in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Frank Cole , Yulong Lu

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Although using non-Gaussian distributions in economic models has become increasingly popular, currently there is no systematic way for calibrating a discrete distribution from the data without imposing parametric assumptions. This paper…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Alexis Akira Toda

The velocity distributions of stellar tracers in general exhibit weak non-Gaussianity encoding information on the orbital composition of a galaxy and the underlying potential. The standard solution for measuring non-Gaussianity involves…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-10-28 Jason L. Sanders , N. Wyn Evans

q-Gaussian distribution appear in many science areas where we can find systems that could be described within a nonextensive framework. Usually, a way to assert that these systems belongs to nonextensive framework is by means of numerical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-21 Wagner S. de Lima , Emerson L. de Santa Helena

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

Undirected probabilistic graphical models represent the conditional dependencies, or Markov properties, of a collection of random variables. Knowing the sparsity of such a graphical model is valuable for modeling multivariate distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Rebecca E. Morrison , Olivier Zahm

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Continuous-time random disturbances (also called stochastic excitations) due to increasing renewable generation have an increasing impact on power system dynamics; However, except from the Monte Carlo simulation, most existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

We develop the no-propagate algorithm for sampling the linear response of random dynamical systems, which are non-uniform hyperbolic deterministic systems perturbed by noise with smooth density. We first derive a Monte-Carlo type formula…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Angxiu Ni
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