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Distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs) are a popular approach to flexibly model the effect of time-delayed exposures. Classical DLNMs specify a common exposure-lag-response relationship across geographical areas. However, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Antonio Gasparrini , Christel Faes

Distributed lag non-linear models (DLNM) have gained popularity for modeling nonlinear lagged relationships between exposures and outcomes. When applied to spatially referenced data, these models must account for spatial dependence, a…

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

In studies of maternal exposure to air pollution a children's health outcome is regressed on exposures observed during pregnancy. The distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) is a statistical method commonly implemented to estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-16 Daniel Mork , Ander Wilson

In environmental health research there is often interest in the effect of an exposure on a health outcome assessed on the same day and several subsequent days or lags. Distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) are a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Daniel Mork , Ander Wilson

Environmental exposures, such as air pollution and extreme temperatures, have complex effects on human health. These effects are often characterized by non-linear exposure-lag-response relationships and delayed impacts over time. Accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Álvaro Briz-Redón , Ana Corberán-Vallet , Adina Iftimi , Carmen Íñiguez

We present a novel Bayesian spatial disaggregation model for count data, providing fast and flexible inference at high resolution. First, it incorporates non-linear covariate effects using penalized splines, a flexible approach that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Christel Faes

Distributed lag models (DLMs) express the cumulative and delayed dependence between pairs of time-indexed response and explanatory variables. In practical application, users of DLMs examine the estimated influence of a series of lagged…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-23 Alastair Rushworth

Assessing climate-driven mortality risk has become an emerging area of research in recent decades. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to explicitly incorporate climate-driven effects into both single- and multi-population stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jiacheng Min , Han Li , Thomas Nagler , Shuanming Li

Distributed Lag Models (DLMs) and similar regression approaches such as MIDAS have been used for many decades in econometrics and more recently to investigate how poor air quality adversely affects human health. In this paper we describe…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Daniel Dempsey , Jason Wyse

This study quantifies the association between air pollution and mortality in Ontario, Canada. Exposure-response relationships in air pollution epidemiology are complex due to three features: time-lagged associations, non-linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Tianyi Pan , Hwashin Hyun Shin , Alex Stringer , Glen McGee

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Interactions between actors are frequently represented using a network. The latent position model is widely used for analysing network data, whereby each actor is positioned in a latent space. Inferring the dimension of this space is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Xian Yao Gwee , Isobel Claire Gormley , Michael Fop

Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation provides a fast and effective method for marginal inference on Bayesian hierarchical models. This methodology has been implemented in the R-INLA package which permits INLA to be used from within R…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 Virgilio Gomez-Rubio , Roger S. Bivand , Håvard Rue

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Quantifying associations between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and health outcomes is an important public health priority. Many studies have investigated the association considering delayed effects within the past few days.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Tianyi Pan , Hwashin Hyun Shin , Glen McGee , Alex Stringer

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

This paper proposes a two-stage estimation approach for a spatial misalignment scenario that is motivated by the epidemiological problem of linking pollutant exposures and health outcomes. We use the integrated nested Laplace approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Stephen Jun Villejo , Janine B Illian , Ben Swallow

In recent years, spatial and spatio-temporal modeling have become an important area of research in many fields (epidemiology, environmental studies, disease mapping). In this work we propose different spatial models to study hospital…

Applications · Statistics 2010-06-21 Erik A. Sauleau , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz
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