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In multivariate time series analysis, understanding the underlying causal relationships among variables is often of interest for various applications. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a powerful framework for representing causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a linear-time, single-pass, top-down algorithm for multiple testing on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), where nodes represent hypotheses and edges specify a partial ordering in which hypotheses must be tested. The procedure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Aaditya Ramdas , Jianbo Chen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from data is a challenging task both in theory and in practice, because the number of possible DAGs scales superexponentially with the number of nodes. In this paper, we study the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Hasan Manzour , Simge Küçükyavuz , Ali Shojaie

Causal representation learning seeks to uncover causal relationships among high-level latent variables from low-level, entangled, and noisy observations. Existing approaches often either rely on deep neural networks, which lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Wenjin Zhang , Yixin Wang , Yuqi Gu

This paper proposes to learn Multi-task, Multi-modal Direct Acyclic Graphs (MM-DAGs), which are commonly observed in complex systems, e.g., traffic, manufacturing, and weather systems, whose variables are multi-modal with scalars, vectors,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Tian Lan , Ziyue Li , Zhishuai Li , Lei Bai , Man Li , Fugee Tsung , Wolfgang Ketter , Rui Zhao , Chen Zhang

Causal representation learning aims to recover the latent causal variables and their causal relations, typically represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), from low-level observations such as image pixels. A prevailing line of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Ignavier Ng , Shaoan Xie , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Structural learning of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) or Bayesian networks has been studied extensively under the assumption that data are independent. We propose a new Gaussian DAG model for dependent data which assumes the observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-30 Hangjian Li , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Qing Zhou

Causal representation learning algorithms discover lower-dimensional representations of data that admit a decipherable interpretation of cause and effect; as achieving such interpretable representations is challenging, many causal learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Elise Walker , Jonas A. Actor , Carianne Martinez , Nathaniel Trask

Recursive linear structural equation models and the associated directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) play an important role in causal discovery. The classic identifiability result for this class of models states that when only observational data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Jun Wu , Mathias Drton

Learning the underlying Bayesian Networks (BNs), represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), of the concerned events from purely-observational data is a crucial part of evidential reasoning. This task remains challenging due to the large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-20 Danru Xu , Erdun Gao , Wei Huang , Menghan Wang , Andy Song , Mingming Gong

Bayesian causal discovery offers the power to quantify epistemic uncertainties among a broad range of structurally diverse causal theories potentially explaining the data, represented in forms of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Nu Hoang , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

We consider the problem of discovering $K$ related Gaussian directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), where the involved graph structures share a consistent causal order and sparse unions of supports. Under the multi-task learning setting, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Xinshi Chen , Haoran Sun , Caleb Ellington , Eric Xing , Le Song

We consider model-based multi-agent reinforcement learning, where the environment transition model is unknown and can only be learned via expensive interactions with the environment. We propose H-MARL (Hallucinated Multi-Agent Reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Maryam Kamgarpour , Andreas Krause

Uncovering causal structures from observational data is crucial for understanding complex systems and making informed decisions. While reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in identifying these structures in the form of a directed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Dong Li , Zhengzhang Chen , Xujiang Zhao , Linlin Yu , Zhong Chen , Yi He , Haifeng Chen , Chen Zhao

Comprehensive evaluation of machine learning models is the key to make sure that they perform as robustly and consistently as desired. In order to summarize the experimental results and pick a winner, Critical Difference (CD) diagrams are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Muhammad Rajabinasab , Afsaneh M. Nejad , Arthur Zimek

Dynamic treatment regimens (DTRs) are sequential decision rules tailored at each stage by potentially time-varying patient features and intermediate outcomes observed in previous stages. The complexity, patient heterogeneity and chronicity…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Ying Liu , Yuanjia Wang , Michael R. Kosorok , Yingqi Zhao , Donglin Zeng

Estimating a directed acyclic graph (DAG) from observational data represents a canonical learning problem and has generated a lot of interest in recent years. Research has focused mostly on the following two cases: when no information…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-15 Syed Rahman , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis , Carlos Martinez , Juan Carulla

Within the current sphere of deep learning research, despite the extensive application of optimization algorithms such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam), there remains a pronounced inadequacy in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Zhifeng Wang , Longlong Li , Chunyan Zeng

Solving conditional moment restrictions (CMRs) is a key problem considered in statistics, causal inference, and econometrics, where the aim is to solve for a function of interest that satisfies some conditional moment equalities.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Daqian Shao , Ashkan Soleymani , Francesco Quinzan , Marta Kwiatkowska
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