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Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

We quantify resilience with metrics extracted from the historical outage data that is routinely recorded by many distribution utilities. The outage data is coordinated with wind data to relate average outage rates in an area to wind speed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-13 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

We focus on large blackouts in electric distribution systems caused by extreme winds. Such events have a large cost and impact on customers. To quantify resilience to these events, we formulate large event risk and show how to calculate it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

Resilience curves track the accumulation and restoration of outages during an event on an electric distribution grid. We show that a resilience curve generated from utility data can always be decomposed into an outage process and a restore…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-26 Nichelle'Le K. Carrington , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

To improve the resilience of electric distribution systems, this paper proposes a stochastic multi-period mixed-integer linear programming model that determines where to underground distribution lines and how to coordinate mobile generators…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-25 Babak Taheri , Daniel K. Molzahn , Santiago Grijalva

Energy systems resilience is becoming increasingly important as the frequency of major grid outages increases. In this work, we present a methodology to optimize a behind-the-meter distributed energy resource system to sustain a site's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Sakshi Mishra , Kate Anderson

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

In the electrical grid, the distribution system is themost vulnerable to severe weather events. Well-placed and coordinatedupgrades, such as the combination of microgrids, systemhardening and additional line redundancy, can greatly reduce…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Arthur Barnes , Harsha Nagarajan , Emre Yamangil , Russell Bent , Scott Backhaus

A resilient energy infrastructure is crucial for addressing increasing extreme weather and climate risks. The undergrounding of the power system is one approach to building such resiliency. In this study, we introduce Grid Underground…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-13 Tao Sun , Chad Zanocco , June Flora , Ram Rajagopal

To study resilience with real data, it is necessary to group the individual outages recorded by utilities into events in which the outages bunch up and overlap due to extreme weather. We show how to automatically group utility outage data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

In recent years, increasingly unpredictable and severe global weather patterns have frequently caused long-lasting power outages. Building resilience, the ability to withstand, adapt to, and recover from major disruptions, has become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu

We describe some bulk statistics of historical initial line outages and the implications for forming contingency lists and understanding which initial outages are likely to lead to further cascading. We use historical outage data to…

Urban transportation systems are vulnerable to congestion, accidents, weather, special events, and other costly delays. Whereas typical policy responses prioritize reduction of delays under normal conditions to improve the efficiency of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-22 Alexander A. Ganin , Maksim Kitsak , Dayton Marchese , Jeffrey M. Keisler , Thomas Seager , Igor Linkov

The impact of routine smaller outages on distribution system customers in terms of customer minutes interrupted can be tracked using conventional reliability indices. However, the customer minutes interrupted in large blackout events are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Several recently proposed techniques achieve latency reduction by trading it off for some amount of additional bandwidth usage. But how would one quantify whether the tradeoff is actually beneficial in a given system? We develop an economic…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-12-05 Ashish Vulimiri , P. Brighten Godfrey , Sri Varsha Gorge , Zitian Liu , Scott Shenker
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