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The in-depth analysis of time series has gained a lot of research interest in recent years, with the identification of periodic patterns being one important aspect. Many of the methods for identifying periodic patterns require time series'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Maximilian Toller , Roman Kern

We consider model-free monitoring procedures for strict stationarity of a given time series. The new criteria are formulated as L2-type statistics incorporating the empirical characteristic function. Asymptotic as well as Monte Carlo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Sangyeol Lee , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

In 1980 and 1981, two pioneering papers laid the foundation for what became known as nonlinear time-series analysis: the analysis of observed data---typically univariate---via dynamical systems theory. Based on the concept of state-space…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-24 Elizabeth Bradley , Holger Kantz

Time series data is used in a wide range of real world applications. In a variety of domains , detailed analysis of time series data (via Forecasting and Anomaly Detection) leads to a better understanding of how events associated with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Yunus Parvej Faniband , Iskandar Ishak , Sadiq M. Sait

The PQDSS standardization process requires cryptographic primitives to be free from vulnerabilities, including timing and cache side-channels. Resistance to timing leakage is therefore an essential property, and achieving this typically…

Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-17 Manan Vyas , T. Guhr , T. H. Seligman

Chains are vector-valued signals sampling a curve. They are important to motion signal processing and to many scientific applications including location sensors. We propose a novel measure of smoothness for chains curves by generalizing the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Daniel Lemire

Recently, multivariate time series forecasting tasks have garnered increasing attention due to their significant practical applications, leading to the emergence of various deep forecasting models. However, real-world time series exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jiaxi Hu , Qingsong Wen , Sijie Ruan , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

Nonlinear filtering is the problem of online estimation of a dynamic hidden variable from incoming data and has vast applications in different fields, ranging from engineering, machine learning, economic science and natural sciences. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The aim of this paper is to present a set of Python-based tools to develop forecasts using time series data sets. The material is based on a four week course that the author has taught for seven years to students on operations research,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Alain Zemkoho

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

We propose a procedure to determine the dimension of the common factor space in a large, possibly non-stationary, dataset. Our procedure is designed to determine whether there are (and how many) common factors (i) with linear trends, (ii)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-12 Matteo Barigozzi , Lorenzo Trapani

In the last years there has been a considerable increase in the availability of continuous sensor measurements in a wide range of application domains, such as Location-Based Services (LBS), medical monitoring systems, manufacturing plants…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Michele Dallachiesa , Besmira Nushi , Katsiaryna Mirylenka , Themis Palpanas

Recent research in time series forecasting frequently investigates the integration of textual and visual modalities with numerical models to better navigate non-stationary environments. Despite delivering solid numerical results, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hui Cheng , Jinsheng Guo , Zhenhao Weng , Yan Qiao , Meng Li

Time series similarity measures are highly relevant in a wide range of emerging applications including training machine learning models, classification, and predictive modeling. Standard similarity measures for time series most often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Lucas Cassiel Jacaruso

The rate of entropy production provides a useful quantitative measure of a non-equilibrium system and estimating it directly from time-series data from experiments is highly desirable. Several approaches have been considered for stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-21 Shun Otsubo , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Takahiro Sagawa , Supriya Krishnamurthy

In this paper, we present a nonlinear analysis software toolkit, which can help in biomechanical gait data analysis by implementing various nonlinear statistical analysis algorithms. The toolkit is proposed to tackle the need for an…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Shifat Sarwar , Aaron Likens , Nick Stergiou , Spyridon Mastorakis

The ability to detect change-points in a dynamic network or a time series of graphs is an increasingly important task in many applications of the emerging discipline of graph signal processing. This paper formulates change-point detection…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Heng Wang , Minh Tang , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe
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