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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) offer strong zero-shot forecasting via large-scale pre-training, yet fine-tuning remains critical for boosting performance in domains with limited public data. With the growing number of TSFMs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Qingren Yao , Ming Jin , Chengqi Zhang , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Jun Qi , Shirui Pan

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

Predictive models are being increasingly used across a wide range of domains, including safety-critical applications such as medical diagnosis and criminal justice. Reliable uncertainty estimation is a crucial task in such settings. Tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Madhushan Ramalingam

Motivated by the recent success of time-series foundation models for zero-shot forecasting, we present a methodology for $\textit{in-context fine-tuning}$ of a time-series foundation model. In particular, we design a pretrained foundation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Abhimanyu Das , Matthew Faw , Rajat Sen , Yichen Zhou

Learning time series foundation models has been shown to be a promising approach for zero-shot time series forecasting across diverse time series domains. Insofar as scaling has been a critical driver of performance of foundation models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xinghong Fu , Yanhong Li , Georgios Papaioannou , Yoon Kim

While most ML models expect independent and identically distributed data, this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, resulting in the degradation of machine learning model performance. Until now,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Kai Helli , David Schnurr , Noah Hollmann , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed to efficiently perform tabular classification tasks. Although they achieve good performance on small datasets, they encounter limitations with larger datasets. These limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuxin Wang , Botian Jiang , Yiran Guo , Quan Gan , David Wipf , Xuanjing Huang , Xipeng Qiu

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Time series foundation models have demonstrated strong performance in zero-shot learning, making them well-suited for predicting rapidly evolving patterns in real-world applications where relevant training data are scarce. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Haoyu Ma , Yushu Chen , Wenlai Zhao , Jinzhe Yang , Yingsheng Ji , Xinghua Xu , Xiaozhu Liu , Hao Jing , Shengzhuo Liu , Guangwen Yang

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as promising foundation models for prediction from tabular datasets, achieving state-of-the-art performance on small to moderate data sizes without tuning. While PFNs are motivated by Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

Effective resource allocation in higher education depends on reliable enrolment forecasts, yet institutional planners frequently face data series disrupted by structural shifts. This paper investigates whether zero-shot Time Series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

Deep Neural Networks have spearheaded remarkable advancements in time series forecasting (TSF), one of the major tasks in time series modeling. Nonetheless, the non-stationarity of time series undermines the reliability of pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 HyunGi Kim , Siwon Kim , Jisoo Mok , Sungroh Yoon

The proliferation of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has significantly advanced zero-shot forecasting, enabling predictions for unseen time series without task-specific fine-tuning. Extensive research has confirmed that no single TSFM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Hao-Nan Shi , Ting-Ji Huang , Lu Han , De-Chuan Zhan , Han-Jia Ye

Traditional methods for tabular classification usually rely on supervised learning from scratch, which requires extensive training data to determine model parameters. However, a novel approach called Prior-Data Fitted Networks (TabPFN) has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Quangao Liu , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , Longlong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

Accurate prediction of mechanical properties of steel during hot rolling processes, such as Thin Slab Direct Rolling (TSDR), remains challenging due to complex interactions among chemical compositions, processing parameters, and resultant…

Time-series forecasting is a challenging problem that traditionally requires specialized models custom-trained for the specific task at hand. Recently, inspired by the success of large language models, foundation models pre-trained on vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

A foundation model is a machine learning model trained on a large and diverse set of data, typically using self-supervised learning-based pre-training techniques, that can be adapted to various downstream tasks. However, current research on…

Tabular-image multimodal learning, which integrates structured tabular data with imaging data, holds great promise for a variety of tasks, especially in medical applications. Yet, two key challenges remain: (1) the lack of a standardized,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiaqi Luo , Yuan Yuan , Shixin Xu

Hollmann et al. (Nature 637 (2025) 319-326) recently introduced TabPFN, a transformer-based deep learning model for regression and classification on tabular data, which they claim "outperforms all previous methods on datasets with up to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Qiong Zhang , Yan Shuo Tan , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as general-purpose forecasting models and show considerable potential for applications in energy systems. However, applications in critical infrastructure like power grids require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Matthias Hertel , Alexandra Nikoltchovska , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Benjamin Schäfer , Veit Hagenmeyer