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We present a novel class of minimax optimal control problems with positive dynamics, linear objective function and homogeneous constraints. The proposed problem class can be analyzed with dynamic programming and an explicit solution to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Alba Gurpegui , Emma Tegling , Anders Rantzer

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust chance-constrained formulation of the Optimal Power Flow problem (OPF) whereby the system operator can leverage contextual information. For this purpose, we exploit an ambiguity set based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

In this paper, we study a discrete-time stochastic optimal control problem under distribution uncertainty with convex control domain. By weak convergence method and Sion's minimax theorem, we obtain the variational inequality for cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Mingshang Hu , Shaolin Ji , Xiaojuan Li

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

We propose a new framework for generative modeling based on a discrete-time stochastic control formulation of measure transport. Adapting classic results from control theory, we formulate our problem as a linear program whose dual variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Adrian Müller , Gergely Neu

We address the problem of computing reliable policies in reinforcement learning problems with limited data. In particular, we compute policies that achieve good returns with high confidence when deployed. This objective, known as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Bahram Behzadian , Reazul Hasan Russel , Marek Petrik , Chin Pang Ho

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Sören Christensen

This paper studies optimal consumption and saving decisions under uncertainty about the transition dynamics of the economic environment. We consider a general optimal savings problem in which the exogenous state governing discounting,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Qingyin Ma , Xinxin Zhang

When sample data are governed by an unknown sequence of independent but possibly non-identical distributions, the data-generating process (DGP) in general cannot be perfectly identified from the data. For making decisions facing such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-11 Xiaoyu Cheng

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Jiaqi Wen , Jianyi Yang

Climate-economic modeling under uncertainty presents significant computational challenges that may limit policymakers' ability to address climate change effectively. This paper explores neural network-based approaches for solving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo , Louis Daumas , Leonardo Chiani , Massimo Tavoni

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

We deal with the convergence of the value function of an approximate control problem with uncertain dynamics to the value function of a nonlinear optimal control problem. The assumptions on the dynamics and the costs are rather general and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Andrea Pesare , Michele Palladino , Maurizio Falcone

Deregulated energy markets, demand forecasting, and the continuously increasing share of renewable energy sources call---among others---for a structured consideration of uncertainties in optimal power flow problems. The main challenge is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-24 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Timm Faulwasser , Veit Hagenmeyer

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

We propose a general framework for studying optimal impulse control problem in the presence of uncertainty on the parameters. Given a prior on the distribution of the unknown parameters, we explain how it should evolve according to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 N. Baradel , B. Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

We propose an end-to-end distributionally robust system for portfolio construction that integrates the asset return prediction model with a distributionally robust portfolio optimization model. We also show how to learn the risk-tolerance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Giorgio Costa , Garud N. Iyengar

Despite their groundbreaking performance, autonomous agents can misbehave when training and environmental conditions become inconsistent, with minor mismatches leading to undesirable behaviors or even catastrophic failures. Robustness…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Allahkaram Shafiei , Hozefa Jesawada , Karl Friston , Giovanni Russo

We investigate constrained optimal control problems for linear stochastic dynamical systems evolving in discrete time. We consider minimization of an expected value cost over a finite horizon. Hard constraints are introduced first, and then…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-07 Eugenio Cinquemani , Mayank Agarwal , Debasish Chatterjee , John Lygeros