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Machine learning models are often brittle under distribution shift, i.e., when data distributions at test time differ from those during training. Understanding this failure mode is central to identifying and mitigating safety risks of mass…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-04 Alex Nguyen , David J. Schwab , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn

We study how the training data distribution affects confidence and performance in image classification models. We introduce Embedding Density, a model-agnostic framework that estimates prediction confidence by measuring the distance of test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Maksim Kazanskii , Artem Kasianov

In the domain of assistive robotics, the significance of effective modeling is well acknowledged. Prior research has primarily focused on enhancing model accuracy or involved the collection of extensive, often impractical amounts of data.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Hamid Osooli , Christopher Coco , Johnathan Spanos , Amin Majdi , Reza Azadeh

We take a geometrical viewpoint and present a unifying view on supervised deep learning with the Bregman divergence loss function - this entails frequent classification and prediction tasks. Motivated by simulations we suggest that there is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Petr Taborsky , Lars Kai Hansen

Scientific machine learning (ML) endeavors to develop generalizable models with broad applicability. However, the assessment of generalizability is often based on heuristics. Here, we demonstrate in the materials science setting that…

The study of mechanistic interpretability aims to reverse-engineer a model to explain its behaviors. While recent studies have focused on the static mechanism of a certain behavior, the learning dynamics inside a model remain to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Yueyan Li , Wenhao Gao , Caixia Yuan , Xiaojie Wang

Modern machine learning methods and the availability of large-scale data have significantly advanced our ability to predict target quantities from large sets of covariates. However, these methods often struggle under distributional shifts,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Nicola Gnecco , Jonas Peters , Sebastian Engelke , Niklas Pfister

Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) models have shown promise in drug response prediction (DRP), yet their ability to generalize across datasets remains an open question, raising concerns about their real-world applicability. Due…

The infrequent occurrence of overfit in deep neural networks is perplexing. On the one hand, theory predicts that as models get larger they should eventually become too specialized for a specific training set, with ensuing decrease in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Uri Stern , Daphna Weinshall

High complexity models are notorious in machine learning for overfitting, a phenomenon in which models well represent data but fail to generalize an underlying data generating process. A typical procedure for circumventing overfitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 James Schmidt

Overfit is a fundamental problem in machine learning in general, and in deep learning in particular. In order to reduce overfit and improve generalization in the classification of images, some employ invariance to a group of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Roee Cates , Daphna Weinshall

Neural networks are promising tools for high-throughput and accurate transmission electron microscopy (TEM) analysis of nanomaterials, but are known to generalize poorly on data that is "out-of-distribution" from their training data. Given…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-06-22 Katherine Sytwu , Luis Rangel DaCosta , Mary C. Scott

Vision Transformers (ViTs) have achieved impressive performance on various vision tasks, yet their generalization under distribution shifts (DS) is rarely understood. In this work, we comprehensively study the out-of-distribution (OOD)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Chongzhi Zhang , Mingyuan Zhang , Shanghang Zhang , Daisheng Jin , Qiang Zhou , Zhongang Cai , Haiyu Zhao , Xianglong Liu , Ziwei Liu

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

Despite continued efforts to improve classification accuracy, it has been reported that offline accuracy is a poor indicator of the usability of pattern recognition-based myoelectric control. One potential source of this disparity is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-15 Shriram Tallam Puranam Raghu , Dawn T. MacIsaac , Erik J. Scheme

Deep learning models are often evaluated in scenarios where the data distribution is different from those used in the training and validation phases. The discrepancy presents a challenge for accurately predicting the performance of models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Shadi Alijani , Jamil Fayyad , Homayoun Najjaran

Model-based optimization (MBO) is increasingly applied to design problems in science and engineering. A common scenario involves using a fixed training set to train models, with the goal of designing new samples that outperform those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Farhan Damani , David H Brookes , Theodore Sternlieb , Cameron Webster , Stephen Malina , Rishi Jajoo , Kathy Lin , Sam Sinai

We derive a differential equation that governs the evolution of the generalization gap when a deep network is trained by gradient descent. This differential equation is controlled by two quantities, a contraction factor that brings together…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Rubing Yang , Pratik Chaudhari

Deep learning time-series models are often used to make forecasts that inform downstream decisions. Since these decisions can differ from those in the training set, there is an implicit requirement that time-series models will generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Thomas Crasson , Yacine Nabet , Mathias Lécuyer

How well do neural networks generalize? Even for grammar induction tasks, where the target generalization is fully known, previous works have left the question open, testing very limited ranges beyond the training set and using different…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Nur Lan , Emmanuel Chemla , Roni Katzir
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