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Multivariate normal (MVN) probabilities arise in myriad applications, but they are analytically intractable and need to be evaluated via Monte-Carlo-based numerical integration. For the state-of-the-art minimax exponential tilting (MET)…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-28 Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-20 Zhou-Quan Wan , Roeland Wiersema , Shiwei Zhang

We propose a novel $hp$-multilevel Monte Carlo method for the quantification of uncertainties in the compressible Navier-Stokes equations, using the Discontinuous Galerkin method as deterministic solver. The multilevel approach exploits…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 A. Beck , J. Dürrwächter , T. Kuhn , F. Meyer , C. -D. Munz , C. Rohde

In this paper we present a new Eulerian finite element method for the discretization of scalar partial differential equations on evolving surfaces. In this method we use the restriction of standard space-time finite element spaces on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Hauke Sass , Arnold Reusken

We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo (AMLMC) algorithm for approximating deterministic, real-valued, bounded linear functionals that depend on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE with a lognormal diffusivity coefficient and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

We explore the recently-proposed Virtual Element Method (VEM) for numerical solution of boundary value problems on arbitrary polyhedral meshes. More specifically, we focus on the elasticity equations in three-dimensions and elaborate upon…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Arun L. Gain , Cameron Talischi , Glaucio H. Paulino

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We consider a randomised implementation of the finite element method (FEM) for elliptic partial differential equations on high-dimensional models. This is motivated by applications where model predictions are essential for real-time process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Yue Wu , Dimitris Kamilis , Nick Polydorides

In this paper, we evaluate the performance of the multilevel Monte Carlo method (MLMC) for deterministic and uncertain hyperbolic systems, where randomness is introduced either in the modeling parameters or in the approximation algorithms.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Junpeng Hu , Shi Jin , Jinglai Li , Lei Zhang

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Sundar Ganesh , Fabio Nobile

We introduce and analyze a parallel sequential Monte Carlo methodology for the numerical solution of optimization problems that involve the minimization of a cost function that consists of the sum of many individual components. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-04 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Dan Crisan , Joaquín Míguez

This article presents a priori error estimates of the miscible displacement of one incompressible fluid by another through a porous medium characterized by a coupled system of nonlinear elliptic and parabolic equations. The study utilizes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Sarvesh Kumar , Devika Shylaja

A refined a priori error analysis of the lowest order (linear) nonconforming Virtual Element Method (VEM) for approximating a model Poisson problem is developed in both 2D and 3D. A set of new geometric assumptions is proposed on shape…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Shuhao Cao , Long Chen

We present a high-performance budgeted multi-level Monte Carlo method for estimates on the entire spatial domain of multi-PDE problems with random input data. The method is designed to operate optimally within memory and CPU-time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Niklas Baumgarten , Robert Kutri , Robert Scheichl

In this paper, we introduce and analyse a surface finite element discretization of advection-diffusion equations with uncertain coefficients on evolving hypersurfaces. After stating unique solvability of the resulting semi-discrete problem,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Ana Djurdjevac , Charles M. Elliott , Ralf Kornhuber , Thomas Ranner

We present a novel approach aimed at high-performance uncertainty quantification for time-dependent problems governed by partial differential equations. In particular, we consider input uncertainties described by a Karhunen-Loeeve expansion…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Seif Ben Bader , Pietro Benedusi , Alessio Quaglino , Patrick Zulian , Rolf Krause

In this paper we address the problem of the prohibitively large computational cost of existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for large--scale applications with high dimensional parameter spaces, e.g. in uncertainty quantification in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 T. J. Dodwell , C. Ketelsen , R. Scheichl , A. L. Teckentrup

The Poisson-Boltzmann equation is a nonlinear elliptic equation with Dirac distribution sources, which has been widely applied to the prediction of electrostatics potential of biological biomolecular systems in solution. In this paper, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Linghan Huang , Shi Shu , Ying Yang

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a recently proposed variation of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation that achieves variance reduction by simulating the governing equations on a series of spatial (or temporal) grids with increasing resolution.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-26 Hillary Fairbanks , Alireza Doostan , Christian Ketelsen , Gianluca Iaccarino