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In recent years, Artificial Intelligence Weather Prediction (AIWP) models have achieved performance comparable to, or even surpassing, traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models by leveraging reanalysis data. However, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Pengcheng Zhao , Jiang Bian , Zekun Ni , Weixin Jin , Jonathan Weyn , Zuliang Fang , Siqi Xiang , Haiyu Dong , Bin Zhang , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang

A primary goal of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) project is to provide rapidly updating probabilistic guidance to human forecasters for short-term (e.g., 0-3 h) severe weather forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-12 Montgomery Flora , Corey K. Potvin , Patrick S. Skinner , Shawn Handler , Amy McGovern

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

Global ocean forecasting aims to predict key ocean variables such as temperature, salinity, and currents, which is essential for understanding and describing oceanic phenomena. In recent years, data-driven deep learning-based ocean forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Haoming Jia , Yi Han , Xiang Wang , Huizan Wang , Wei Wu , Jianming Zheng , Peikun Xiao

Operational meteorological forecasting has long relied on physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recently, this landscape has faced disruption by the advent of data-driven artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather models,…

Oceanographic forecasting impacts various sectors of society by supporting environmental conservation and economic activities. Based on global circulation models, traditional forecasting methods are computationally expensive and slow,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez , Ángel Rodríguez-Santana

Understanding how fast atmospheric variability shapes slow climate variability and sensitivity remains a central challenge in Earth-system science. Recent advances in machine-learned (ML) atmospheric models have demonstrated remarkable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Bobby Antonio , Kristian Strommen , Pablo Ortega , Hannah M. Christensen

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, particularly in recent years, has led to the emergence of several large parameter artificial intelligence weather forecast models. These models represent a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Fenghua Ling , Lin Ouyang , Boufeniza Redouane Larbi , Jing-Jia Luo , Tao Han , Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Bai

Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction, demonstrating competitive performance compared to traditional physics-based approaches. Data-driven systems have been trained to…

Machine learning (ML) models have become increasingly valuable in weather forecasting, providing forecasts that not only lower computational costs but often match or exceed the accuracy of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Xu Fan , Wenxu Qian , Jun Liu , Hao Li

Short-term ocean forecast skill depends strongly on the three-dimensional ocean structure of the upper ocean, which governs stratification, subsurface heat storage, and the response of the ocean to atmospheric forcing. However, AI ocean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sensen Wu , Yifan Chen , Guantao Pu , Xiaoyao Sun , Yijun Chen , Jin Qi , Ming Kong , Keyi Yang , Lichen Xu , Wenguan Wang , Xiaofeng Li , Zhenhong Du

This paper explores the potential of a hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning (ML) with conventional physics-based modeling for weather prediction beyond the medium range. It extends the work of Arcomano et al. (2022),…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Dhruvit Patel , Troy Arcomano , Brian Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Edward Ott

This study explores a physics-data driven hybrid approach for sea-ice column physics models, in which a machine learning (ML) component acts as a state-dependent parameterization of forecast errors. We examine how perturbations in snow…

We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints through bounding layers, an updated training schedule, and an…

Spatiotemporal projections in marine science are essential for understanding ocean systems and their impact on Earth's climate. However, existing AI-based and statistics-based inversion methods face challenges in leveraging ocean data,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Zhixi Xiong , Yukang Jiang , Wenfang Lu , Xueqin Wang , Ting Tian

The reliable integration of wind energy into modern-day electricity systems heavily relies on accurate short-term wind forecasts. We propose a spatio-temporal model called AIRU-WRF (short for the AI-powered Rutgers University Weather…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-31 Feng Ye , Joseph Brodie , Travis Miles , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models that integrate coupled physical equations forward in time are the traditional tools for simulating atmospheric processes and forecasting weather. With recent advancements in deep learning, AI-based…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-22 Milton Gomez , Louis Poulain--Auzeau , Alexis Berne , Tom Beucler

Forecasting weather accurately and efficiently is a critical capability in our ability to adapt to climate change. Data driven approaches to this problem have enjoyed much success recently providing forecasts with accuracy comparable to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-11 Akshay Subramaniam , Dale Durran , David Pruitt , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay , William Yik

Inspired by the similarity of the atmosphere-ocean physical coupling mechanism, this study innovatively migrates meteorological large-model techniques to the ocean domain, constructing the KunPeng global ocean environmental prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Yi Zhao , Jiaqi Li , Haitao Xia , Tianjiao Zhang , Zerong Zeng , Tianyu Ren , Yucheng Zhang , Chao Zhu , Shengtong Xu , Hongchun Yuan