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We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the gauge approach to deduce the conformity score induced by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Paulo C. Marques F. , Helton Graziadei

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

When training a machine learning model with observational data, it is often encountered that some values are systemically missing. Learning from the incomplete data in which the missingness depends on some covariates may lead to biased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Kanghoon Lee , Jihye Choi , Moonsu Cha , Jung-Kwon Lee , Taeyoon Kim

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

Model stealing (MS) involves querying and observing the output of a machine learning model to steal its capabilities. The quality of queried data is crucial, yet obtaining a large amount of real data for MS is often challenging. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Yunlong Zhao , Xiaoheng Deng , Yijing Liu , Xinjun Pei , Jiazhi Xia , Wei Chen

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) provides a simple and efficient way to solve a broad range of machine learning problems. Here, we focus on distribution regression (DR), involving two stages of sampling: Firstly, we regress from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-08 Nicole Mücke

This article introduces a subbagging (subsample aggregating) approach for variable selection in regression within the context of big data. The proposed subbagging approach not only ensures that variable selection is scalable given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Xian Li , Xuan Liang , Tao Zou

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

Simultaneous variable selection and statistical inference is challenging in high-dimensional data analysis. Most existing post-selection inference methods require explicitly specified regression models, which are often linear, as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Shangyuan Ye , Shauna Rakshe , Ye Liang

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

We consider the problem of variables selection and estimation in linear regression model in situations where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. We propose the adaptive Generalized Ridge-Lasso (\mbox{AdaGril}) which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-27 Mohammed El Anbari , Abdallah Mkhadri

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

The dramatic growth of big datasets presents a new challenge to data storage and analysis. Data reduction, or subsampling, that extracts useful information from datasets is a crucial step in big data analysis. We propose an orthogonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Lin Wang , Jake Elmstedt , Weng Kee Wong , Hongquan Xu

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

From benign overfitting in overparameterized models to rich power-law scalings in performance, simple ridge regression displays surprising behaviors sometimes thought to be limited to deep neural networks. This balance of phenomenological…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Model-assisted estimators have attracted a lot of attention in the last three decades. These estimators attempt to make an efficient use of auxiliary information available at the estimation stage. A working model linking the survey variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza