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In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

Modern graph representation learning works mostly under the assumption of dealing with regularly sampled temporal graph snapshots, which is far from realistic, e.g., social networks and physical systems are characterized by continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Alessio Gravina , Daniele Zambon , Davide Bacciu , Cesare Alippi

Modeling inter-dependencies between time-series is the key to achieve high performance in anomaly detection for multivariate time-series data. The de-facto solution to model the dependencies is to feed the data into a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Yuhang Wu , Mengting Gu , Lan Wang , Yusan Lin , Fei Wang , Hao Yang

Tetrad correlations were obtained historically for Gaussian distributions when tasks are designed to measure an ability or attitude so that a single unobserved variable may generate the observed, linearly increasing dependences among the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-12 Nanny Wermuth , Giovanni M. Marchetti

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Konstantin Göbler , Tobias Windisch , Mathias Drton

We consider the problem of learning a directed graph $G^\star$ from observational data. We assume that the distribution which gives rise to the samples is Markov and faithful to the graph $G^\star$ and that there are no unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Pardis Semnani , Elina Robeva

We propose a nonparametric and time-varying directed information graph (TV-DIG) framework to estimate the evolving causal structure in time series networks, thereby addressing the limitations of traditional econometric models in capturing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-29 Jalal Etesami , Ali Habibnia , Negar Kiyavash

Gaussian graphical models (GGM) have been widely used in many high-dimensional applications ranging from biological and financial data to recommender systems. Sparsity in GGM plays a central role both statistically and computationally.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-12 Zhaoshi Meng , Brian Eriksson , Alfred O. Hero

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) are a powerful tool for reasoning under uncertainty about complex real-world problems. Such problems evolve over time, responding to external shocks as they occur. To support decision-making, CBNs require a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bruno Petrungaro , Anthony C. Constantinou

We consider the problem of learning the structure of a pairwise graphical model over continuous and discrete variables. We present a new pairwise model for graphical models with both continuous and discrete variables that is amenable to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-05 Jason D. Lee , Trevor J. Hastie

We study the problem of learning a directed acyclic graph from data generated according to an additive, non-linear structural equation model with Gaussian noise. We express each non-linear function through a basis expansion, and derive a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Xiaozhu Zhang , Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

The Gaussian graphical model is a widely used tool for learning gene regulatory networks with high-dimensional gene expression data. Most existing methods for Gaussian graphical models assume that the data are homogeneous, i.e., all samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-08 Bochao Jia , Faming Liang

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem with applications spanning various areas in science and engineering. It is well understood that solely using observational data, one can only orient the causal graph up to its Markov equivalence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

Graphs are widely used for describing systems made up of many interacting components and for understanding the structure of their interactions. Various statistical models exist, which describe this structure as the result of a combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-28 Louis Duvivier , Rémy Cazabet , Céline Robardet

We consider the problem of estimating high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models corresponding to a single set of variables under several distinct conditions. This problem is motivated by the task of recovering transcriptional regulatory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-24 Karthik Mohan , Palma London , Maryam Fazel , Daniela Witten , Su-In Lee

Global variational approximation methods in graphical models allow efficient approximate inference of complex posterior distributions by using a simpler model. The choice of the approximating model determines a tradeoff between the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman

Dynamic transportation networks have been analyzed for years by means of static graph-based indicators in order to study the temporal evolution of relevant network components, and to reveal complex dependencies that would not be easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani , Augusto Voltes-Dorta

Graph Laplacian learning, also known as network topology inference, is a problem of great interest to multiple communities. In Gaussian graphical models (GM), graph learning amounts to endowing covariance selection with the Laplacian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Changhao Shi , Gal Mishne
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