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We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

Natural systems are remarkably robust and resilient, maintaining essential functions despite variability, uncertainty, and hostile conditions. Understanding these nonlinear, dynamic behaviours is challenging because such systems involve…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

We introduce simplicial persistence, a measure of time evolution of network motifs in subsequent temporal layers. We observe long memory in the evolution of structures from correlation filtering, with a two regime power law decay in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-21 Jeremy D. Turiel , Paolo Barucca , Tomaso Aste

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

This paper addresses analytical aspects of deterministic, continuous-time dynamical systems defined on networks. The goal is to model and analyze certain phenomena which must be framed beyond the context of networked dynamical systems,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-01-09 Ricardo Riaza

In this paper, it is shown that a simple formulation of Economic Model Predictive Control can be used which possesses two features that are generally viewed as mutually exclusive, namely, a rather short prediction horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Mazen Alamir , Gabriele Pannochia

Understanding which system structure can sustain stable dynamics is a fundamental step in the design and analysis of large scale dynamical systems. Towards this goal, we investigate here the structural stability of systems with a random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Mohamed Ali Belabbas , Artur Kirkoryan

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

This chapter investigates the evolutionary ecology of software, focusing on the symbiotic relationship between software and innovation. An interplay between constraints, tinkering, and frequency-dependent selection drives the complex…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Sergi Valverde , Blai Vidiella , Salva Duran-Nebreda

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

We propose a new non-equilibrium model for spatial pattern formation on the basis of local information transfer. Unlike standard models of pattern formation it is not based on the Turing instability. Information is transmitted through the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thimo Rohlf , Stefan Bornholdt

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

This paper presents a novel framework for stabilizing nonlinear systems represented in state-dependent form. We first reformulate the nonlinear dynamics as a state-dependent parameter-varying model and synthesize a stabilizing controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lidong Li , Rui Huang , Lin Zhao

We show that extremely simple systems of a not too large number of particles can be simultane- ously thermally stable and complex. To such an end, we extend the statistical complexity's notion to simple configurations of non-interacting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-23 F. Pennini , A. Plastino

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

We explore probability modelling of discretization uncertainty for system states defined implicitly by ordinary or partial differential equations. Accounting for this uncertainty can avoid posterior under-coverage when likelihoods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Oksana A. Chkrebtii , David A. Campbell , Ben Calderhead , Mark A. Girolami

Robustness is often regarded as a critical future challenge for real-world applications, where stability is essential. However, as models often learn tasks in a similar order, we hypothesize that easier tasks will be easier regardless of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Shir Ashury-Tahan , Ariel Gera , Elron Bandel , Michal Shmueli-Scheuer , Leshem Choshen