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Understanding the relationship between complexity and stability in large dynamical systems -- such as ecosystems -- remains a key open question in complexity theory which has inspired a rich body of work developed over more than fifty…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-14 Yvonne Krumbeck , Qian Yang , George W. A. Constable , Tim Rogers

This paper presents a unified framework for uncertainty propagation in dynamical systems involving hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The framework accommodates precise probabilistic, imprecise probabilistic, and non-probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Yi Luo , Meng-Ze Lyu , Matteo Broggi , Marko Thiele , Vasileios C. Fragkoulis , Michael Beer

Evolving data streams induce joint nonstationarity in continual semantic segmentation, where semantic classes, input distributions, and supervision availability change simultaneously over time. This setting reflects practical structured…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Prashant Pandey , Himanshu Kumar , Devineni Sri Venkatraya Chowdary , Brejesh Lall

Despite their apparent diversity, modern machine learning methods can be reduced to a remarkably simple core principle: learning is achieved by continuously optimizing parameters to minimize or maximize a scalar objective function. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sheng Ran

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

Context: Software engineering has a problem in that when we empirically evaluate competing prediction systems we obtain conflicting results. Objective: To reduce the inconsistency amongst validation study results and provide a more formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Martin Shepperd , Stephen G. MacDonell

This work presents the concept of kernel mean embedding and kernel probabilistic programming in the context of stochastic systems. We propose formulations to represent, compare, and propagate uncertainties for fairly general stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

Information can evolve as a physical consequence of non-equilibrium dynamics, even in the absence of genes, replication, or predefined fitness functions. We present Stability-Driven Assembly (SDA), a framework in which stochastic assembly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-11 Dan Adler

This paper presents a novel framework for characterizing dissipativity of uncertain systems whose dynamics evolve according to differential-algebraic equations. Sufficient conditions for dissipativity (specializing to, e.g., stability or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Emily Jensen , Neelay Junnarkar , Murat Arcak , Xiaofan Wu , Suat Gumussoy

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

In many practical applications, evaluating the joint impact of combinations of environmental variables is important for risk management and structural design analysis. When such variables are considered simultaneously, non-stationarity can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth

In large-scale networks of uncertain dynamical systems, where communication is limited and there is a strong interaction among subsystems, learning local models and control policies offers great potential for designing high-performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-08 Andrea Carron , Jerome Sieber , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The effort invested in a software project is probably one of the most important and most analyzed variables in recent years in the process of project management. The limitation of algorithmic effort prediction models is their inability to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-10-22 Sumeet Kaur Sehra , Yadwinder Singh Brar , Navdeep Kaur

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

This work interprets and generalizes consensus-type algorithms as switching dynamics leading to symmetrization of some vector variables with respect to the actions of a finite group. We show how the symmetrization framework we develop…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Luca Mazzarella , Francesco Ticozzi , Alain Sarlette

We introduce a novel generative formulation of deep probabilistic models implementing "soft" constraints on their function dynamics. In particular, we develop a flexible methodological framework where the modeled functions and derivatives…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone

Co-evolution exhibited by a network system, involving the intricate interplay between the dynamics of the network itself and the subsystems connected by it, is a key concept for understanding the self-organized, flexible nature of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-14 Takaaki Aoki , Toshio Aoyagi

In structured prediction, the goal is to jointly predict many output variables that together encode a structured object -- a path in a graph, an entity-relation triple, or an ordering of objects. Such a large output space makes learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Kareem Ahmed , Eric Wang , Kai-Wei Chang , Guy Van den Broeck

Economic transformation -- change in what an economy produces -- is foundational to development and rising standards of living. Our understanding of this process has been propelled recently by two branches of work in the field of economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-28 James McNerney , Yang Li , Andres Gomez-Lievano , Frank Neffke

Estimation of structure, such as in variable selection, graphical modelling or cluster analysis is notoriously difficult, especially for high-dimensional data. We introduce stability selection. It is based on subsampling in combination with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-16 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Buehlmann