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Epistemic uncertainty in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) is commonly addressed through a logic-tree framework that combines weighted alternative models to characterize the range of plausible hazard outcomes. Implicit in this…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Davide Zaccagnino , Didier Sornette

The safety and resilience of civil infrastructure systems are increasingly threatened by compounded risks from various hazard events and structural deterioration due to environmental stressors. This study presents a comprehensive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Sudhir P. Jodha , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

In probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), the exceedance probability of a ground-motion intensity measure (IM) is typically evaluated. However, in recent years, dynamic response analyses using ground-motion time histories as input…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Yuma Matsumoto , Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Asako Iwaki , Tatsuya Itoi

Obtaining the ability to make informed decisions regarding the operation and maintenance of structures, provides a major incentive for the implementation of structural health monitoring (SHM) systems. Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-06 Aidan J. Hughes , Robert J. Barthorpe , N. Dervilis , Charles R. Farrar , Keith Worden

This paper presents a hybrid model-AI framework for real-time dynamic security assessment of frequency stability in power systems. The proposed method rapidly estimates key frequency parameters under a dynamic set of disturbances, which are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-12 Francisco Zelaya-Arrazabal , Sebastian Martinez-Lizana , Hector Pulgar-Painemal , Jin Zhao

One of the fundamental concerns in the operation of modern power systems is the assessment of their frequency stability in case of inertia-reduction induced by the large share of power electronic interfaced resources. Within this context,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Francesco Conte , Stefano Massucco , Mario Paolone , Giacomo-Piero Schiapparelli , Federico Silvestro , Yihui Zuo

The increasing demand of large scale wind integration in the conventional power system brings a lot of challenges. One of them is the stability of the power system when subjected to a large disturbance, such as a fault. This paper proposes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Umair Shahzad

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

The State of Tripura lies in northeast India which is considered to be one of the most seismically active regions of the world. In the present study, a realistic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) of Tripura State based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-23 Suman Sinha , S. Selvan

In high-renewable power systems, active-power disturbances are becoming larger and exhibit increasingly diverse time scales, which complicates frequency stability assessment under unanticipated events. This paper presents a response-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-27 Jinhui Chen , Huadong Sun , Ping Wu , Baocai Wang , Bing Zhao

Probability Quantification (PQ) predictions of the efficacy of safety-critical protective systems is challenging. Yet, the popularity of PQ methodologies (e.g., Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Martin Wortman , Ernest Kee , Pranav Kannan

With the integration of distributed energy resources and the trend towards low-inertia power grids, the frequency and severity of grid dynamics is expected to increase. Conventional phasor-based signal processing methods are proving to be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-01 Alexandra Karpilow , Asja Derviskadic , Mario Paolone

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

Power systems are getting more complex than ever and are consequently operating close to their limit of stability. Moreover, with the increasing demand of renewable wind generation, and the requirement to maintain a secure power system, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Umair Shahzad

The increasing penetration of non-synchronous renewable energy sources (NS-RES) alters the dynamic characteristic, and consequently, the frequency behaviour of a power system. To accurately identify these changing trends and address them in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Ahmad Shabir Ahmadyar , Shariq Riaz , Gregor Verbic , Archie Chapman , David J. Hill

Electric power networks are critical lifelines, and their disruption during earthquakes can lead to severe cascading failures and significantly hinder post-disaster recovery. Enhancing their seismic resilience requires identifying and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Huangbin Liang , Beatriz Moya , Francisco Chinesta , Eleni Chatzi

Dependability modeling and evaluation is aimed at investigating that a system performs its function correctly in time. A usual way to achieve a high reliability, is to design redundant systems that contain several replicas of the same…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Andrea Bobbio , Stefania Montani , Luigi Portinale

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

The fundamental frequency is one of the parameters that define power quality. Correctly determining this parameter under the conditions that prevail in modern power grids is crucial. Diagnostic purposes often require an efficient estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-26 Antonio Bracale , Pasquale De Falco , Piotr Kuwałek , Grzegorz Wiczyński

In this paper, a novel non-intrusive probabilistic power flow (PPF) analysis method based on the low-rank approximation (LRA) is proposed, which can accurately and efficiently estimate the probabilistic characteristics (e.g., mean,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-05 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang
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