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Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

We present a stochastic model predictive control framework for nonlinear systems subject to unbounded process noise with closed-loop guarantees. First, we provide a conceptual shrinking-horizon framework that utilizes general probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

We present a noise guided trajectory based system identification method for inferring the dynamical structure from observation generated by stochastic differential equations. Our method can handle various kinds of noise, including the case…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

This paper proposes a hierarchical, multi-resolution framework for the identification of model parameters and their spatially variability from noisy measurements of the response or output. Such parameters are frequently encountered in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. S. Koutsourelakis

We derive a method to reconstruct Gaussian signals from linear measurements with Gaussian noise. This new algorithm is intended for applications in astrophysics and other sciences. The starting point of our considerations is the principle…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-18 Niels Oppermann , Georg Robbers , Torsten A. Ensslin

Often the underlying system of differential equations driving a stochastic dynamical system is assumed to be known, with inference conditioned on this assumption. We present a Bayesian framework for discovering this system of differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Kushagra Gupta , Dootika Vats , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

Can noise be beneficial to machine-learning prediction of chaotic systems? Utilizing reservoir computers as a paradigm, we find that injecting noise to the training data can induce a stochastic resonance with significant benefits to both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai

Scientific analysis often relies on the ability to make accurate predictions of a system's dynamics. Mechanistic models, parameterized by a number of unknown parameters, are often used for this purpose. Accurate estimation of the model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Franz Hamilton , Alun Lloyd , Kevin Flores

This paper deals with the noise identification of a linear time-varying stochastic dynamic system described by the state-space model. In particular, the stress is laid on the design of the correlation measurement difference method for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Oliver Kost , Jindrich Dunik , Ivo Puncochar , Ondrej Straka

Robotic agents should be able to learn from sub-symbolic sensor data, and at the same time, be able to reason about objects and communicate with humans on a symbolic level. This raises the question of how to overcome the gap between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires , Nitesh Kumar , Andreas Persson , Amy Loutfi , Luc De Raedt

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

In computational physics, machine learning has now emerged as a powerful complementary tool to explore efficiently candidate designs in engineering studies. Outputs in such supervised problems are signals defined on meshes, and a natural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Raphaël Carpintero Perez , Sébastien da Veiga , Josselin Garnier , Brian Staber

Symbolic Regression is the study of algorithms that automate the search for analytic expressions that fit data. While recent advances in deep learning have generated renewed interest in such approaches, the development of symbolic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-27 Wassim Tenachi , Rodrigo Ibata , Foivos I. Diakogiannis

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

The advent of Scientific Machine Learning has heralded a transformative era in scientific discovery, driving progress across diverse domains. Central to this progress is uncovering scientific laws from experimental data through symbolic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick