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Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

This paper presents a structure-preserving Bayesian approach for learning nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models allowing for statistically-dependent, vector-valued additive and multiplicative measurement noise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-23 Nicholas Galioto , Harsh Sharma , Boris Kramer , Alex Arkady Gorodetsky

Data-driven discovery of governing equations from data remains a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics. Although sparse regression techniques have advanced system identification, they struggle with rational functions and noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Zitong Zhang , Hao Sun

Accurate parking availability prediction is critical for intelligent transportation systems, but real-world deployments often face data sparsity, noise, and unpredictable changes. Addressing these challenges requires models that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Alireza Nezhadettehad , Arkady Zaslavsky , Abdur Rakib , Seng W. Loke

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

In social science, formal and quantitative models, such as ones describing economic growth and collective action, are used to formulate mechanistic explanations, provide predictions, and uncover questions about observed phenomena. Here, we…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Julia Balla , Sihao Huang , Owen Dugan , Rumen Dangovski , Marin Soljacic

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

An efficient technique is introduced for model inference of complex nonlinear dynamical systems driven by noise. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy , D. G. Luchinsky

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In the study of complex dynamical systems, understanding and accurately modeling the underlying physical processes is crucial for predicting system behavior and designing effective interventions. Yet real-world systems exhibit pronounced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Ridwan Olabiyi , Han Hu , Ashif Iquebal

We consider the data-driven discovery of governing equations from time-series data in the limit of high noise. The algorithms developed describe an extensive toolkit of methods for circumventing the deleterious effects of noise in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Charles B. Delahunt , J. Nathan Kutz

In scientific machine learning, the task of identifying partial differential equations accurately from sparse and noisy data poses a significant challenge. Current sparse regression methods may identify inaccurate equations on sparse and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Su Chen , Yi Ding , Hiroe Miyake , Xiaojun Li

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

When characterizing materials, it can be important to not only predict their mechanical properties, but also to estimate the probability distribution of these properties across a set of samples. Constitutive neural networks allow for the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Jeremy A. McCulloch , Ellen Kuhl

Many natural systems exhibit chaotic behaviour such as the weather, hydrology, neuroscience and population dynamics. Although many chaotic systems can be described by relatively simple dynamical equations, characterizing these systems can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-15 H. Ribera , S. Shirman , A. V. Nguyen , N. M. Mangan

Physics-based and first-principles models pervade the engineering and physical sciences, allowing for the ability to model the dynamics of complex systems with a prescribed accuracy. The approximations used in deriving governing equations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Megan R. Ebers , Katherine M. Steele , J. Nathan Kutz

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

The automated construction of coarse-grained models represents a pivotal component in computer simulation of physical systems and is a key enabler in various analysis and design tasks related to uncertainty quantification. Pertinent methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-11 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis
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