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Conformal prediction (CP) provides a comprehensive framework to produce statistically rigorous uncertainty sets for black-box machine learning models. To further improve the efficiency of CP, conformal correction is proposed to fine-tune or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Senrong Xu , Tianyu Wang , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) is a powerful and widely used technique for nonlinear dynamic process control under constraints. In NMPC, the state and control weights of the corresponding state and control costs are commonly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-07 Dimche Kostadinov , Davide Scaramuzza

It has long been hoped that model-based control will improve tracking performance while maintaining or increasing compliance. This hope hinges on having or being able to estimate an accurate inverse dynamics model. As a result, substantial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-08-11 Nathan Ratliff , Franziska Meier , Daniel Kappler , Stefan Schaal

Model predictive control (MPC) is a powerful technique for solving dynamic control tasks. In this paper, we show that there exists a close connection between MPC and online learning, an abstract theoretical framework for analyzing online…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Nolan Wagener , Ching-An Cheng , Jacob Sacks , Byron Boots

We study the problem of safe online convex optimization, where the action at each time step must satisfy a set of linear safety constraints. The goal is to select a sequence of actions to minimize the regret without violating the safety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sapana Chaudhary , Dileep Kalathil

Risk-aware navigation in unknown environments is a fundamental challenge for autonomous vehicles operating in complex urban systems. To address this issue, this paper presents a differentiable optimization layered safety-critical control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Jinyang Dong , Shizhen Wu , Yongchun Fang

Conformal predictors are an important class of algorithms that allow predictions to be made with a user-defined confidence level. They are able to do this by outputting prediction sets, rather than simple point predictions. The conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Anthony Bellotti

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Online Feedback Optimization uses optimization algorithms as dynamic systems to design optimal control inputs. The results obtained from Online Feedback Optimization depend on the setup of the chosen optimization algorithm. In this work we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Marta Zagorowska , Lars Imsland

The deployment of autonomous systems in safety-critical environments requires control policies that guarantee satisfaction of complex control specifications. These systems are commonly modeled as nonlinear discrete-time stochastic systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Alessandro Riccardi , Thom Badings , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate , Bart De Schutter

Machine-learning techniques are essential in modern collider research, yet their probabilistic outputs often lack calibrated uncertainty estimates and finite-sample guarantees, limiting their direct use in statistical inference and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-22 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Temporally consistent depth estimation is crucial for online applications such as augmented reality. While stereo depth estimation has received substantial attention as a promising way to generate 3D information, there is relatively little…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Zhaoshuo Li , Wei Ye , Dilin Wang , Francis X. Creighton , Russell H. Taylor , Ganesh Venkatesh , Mathias Unberath

Model Predictive Control (MPC) has exhibited remarkable capabilities in optimizing objectives and meeting constraints. However, the substantial computational burden associated with solving the Optimal Control Problem (OCP) at each…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Yu Luo , Qie Sima , Tianying Ji , Fuchun Sun , Huaping Liu , Jianwei Zhang

We study online alignment of large language models under misspecified preference feedback, where the observed preference oracle deviates from an ideal but unknown ground-truth oracle. The online LLM alignment problem is a bi-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zimeng Li , Mudit Gaur , Vaneet Aggarwal

Achieving both optimality and safety under unknown system dynamics is a central challenge in real-world deployment of agents. To address this, we introduce a notion of maximum safe dynamics learning, where sufficient exploration is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Manish Prajapat , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Andreas Krause

We present Distribution-aware Conformal Prediction (DCP), a unified framework integrating probabilistic predictors like Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensembles, and quantile regression with score-agnostic conformal calibration to produce valid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Daniel Schweizer , Peter Kuhn , Jayant Sharma , Shivali Dubey , Malte von Ramin , Christoph Brockt-Haßauer

Automated synthesis of correct-by-construction controllers for autonomous systems is crucial for their deployment in safety-critical scenarios. Such autonomous systems are naturally modeled as stochastic dynamical models. The general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-17 Thom Badings , Nils Jansen , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate

We introduce a framework for robust uncertainty quantification in situations where labeled training data are corrupted, through noisy or missing labels. We build on conformal prediction, a statistical tool for generating prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

The problem of online change point detection is to detect abrupt changes in properties of time series, ideally as soon as possible after those changes occur. Existing work on online change point detection either assumes i.i.d data, focuses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

When a machine learning model is deployed, its predictions can alter its environment, as better informed agents strategize to suit their own interests. With such alterations in mind, existing approaches to uncertainty quantification break.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert
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