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Understanding the temporal properties of longitudinal data is critical for identifying trends, predicting future events, and making informed decisions in any field where temporal data is analysed, including health and epidemiology, finance,…

Characterizing inhomogeneous temporal patterns in natural and social phenomena is important to understand underlying mechanisms behind such complex systems, hence even to predict and control them. Temporal inhomogeneities in event sequences…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-21 Eun-Kyeong Kim , Hang-Hyun Jo

The dynamics of a wide range of real systems, from email patterns to earthquakes, display a bursty, intermittent nature, characterized by short timeframes of intensive activity followed by long times of no or reduced activity. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kwang-Il Goh , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

We construct the temporal network using the two-dimensional active particle systems which are described by the Vicsek model. The bursts of the interevent times for a specific pair of particles are investigated numerically. We find that for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-18 Wei Zhong , Youjin Deng , Daxing Xiong

Bursty dynamics characterizes systems that evolve through short active periods of several events, which are separated by long periods of inactivity. Systems with such temporal heterogeneities are not only found in nature but also include…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-19 Márton Karsai , Hang-Hyun Jo

We introduce a time-varying network model accounting for burstiness and tie reinforcement observed in social networks. The analytical solution indicates a non-trivial phase diagram determined by the competition of the leading terms of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-02 Enrico Ubaldi , Alessandro Vezzani , Marton Karsai , Nicola Perra , Raffaella Burioni

Human social interactions tend to vary in intensity over time, whether they are in person or online. Variable rates of interaction in structured populations can be described by networks with the time-varying activity of links and nodes. One…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-17 Anzhi Sheng , Qi Su , Aming Li , Long Wang , Joshua B. Plotkin

The dynamics of many social, technological and economic phenomena are driven by individual human actions, turning the quantitative understanding of human behavior into a central question of modern science. Current models of human dynamics,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Albert-László Barabási

Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-01 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , Albert-László Barabási , János Kertész

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo

Temporal inhomogeneities in event sequences of natural and social phenomena have been characterized in terms of interevent times and correlations between interevent times. The inhomogeneities of interevent times have been extensively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-20 Hang-Hyun Jo , Takayuki Hiraoka

Current models of human dynamics, used from risk assessment to communications, assume that human actions are randomly distributed in time and thus well approximated by Poisson processes. We provide direct evidence that for five human…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Vazquez , J. Gama Oliveira , Z. Dezso , K. -I. Goh , I. Kondor , A. -L. Barabasi

Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Till Aczel , Lucas Theis , Roger Wattenhofer

The information bottleneck (IB) principle has been suggested as a way to analyze deep neural networks. The learning dynamics are studied by inspecting the mutual information (MI) between the hidden layers and the input and output. Notably,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Stephan Sloth Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Mads Nielsen

The Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure remains widely popular despite having limited theoretical guarantees in the commonly encountered scenario of correlated test statistics. Of particular concern is the possibility that the method could…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Dan M. Kluger , Art B. Owen

The $b$-value in earthquake magnitude-frequency distribution quantifies the relative frequency of large versus small earthquakes. Monitoring its evolution could provide fundamental insights into temporal variations of stress on different…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-19 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo

We define an activity dependent branching ratio that allows comparison of different time series $X_{t}$. The branching ratio $b_x$ is defined as $b_x= E[\xi_x/x]$. The random variable $\xi_x$ is the value of the next signal given that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Elliot Martin , Amer Shreim , Maya Paczuski

The Boltzmann-Shannon Index (BSI) for clustered continuous data is introduced as a normalized measure that captures the relationship between geometry-based and frequency-based probability distributions defined over the clusters. In essence,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Emanuele Bossi , C. Tyler Diggans , Abd AlRahman R. AlMomani

A discrete-time random process is described which can generate bursty sequences of events. A Bernoulli process, where the probability of an event occurring at time $t$ is given by a fixed probability $x$, is modified to include a memory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-29 Ewan R. Colman , Danica Vukadinović Greetham

We analyze sets of intrusion detection records observed on the networks of several large, nonresidential organizations protected by a form of intrusion detection and prevention service. Our analyses reveal that the process of intrusion…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Richard Harang , Alexander Kott
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