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Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Clustering temporal and dynamically changing multivariate time series from real-world fields, called temporal clustering for short, has been a major challenge due to inherent complexities. Although several deep temporal clustering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zhi Wang , Yanni Li , Pingping Zheng , Yiyuan Jiao

Foundation models for time series analysis (TSA) have attracted significant attention. However, challenges such as training data scarcity and imbalance continue to hinder their development. Inspired by complex dynamic system theories, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wenxuan Wang , Kai Wu , Yujian Betterest Li , Dan Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) offer strong zero-shot forecasting via large-scale pre-training, yet fine-tuning remains critical for boosting performance in domains with limited public data. With the growing number of TSFMs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Qingren Yao , Ming Jin , Chengqi Zhang , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Jun Qi , Shirui Pan

Understanding time series is crucial for its application in real-world scenarios. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been increasingly applied to time series tasks, leveraging their strong language capabilities to enhance various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zhe Xie , Zeyan Li , Xiao He , Longlong Xu , Xidao Wen , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Rui Shi , Dan Pei

The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) in Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) has opened new possibilities for artificial intelligence, yet current implementations face significant challenges in resource management, task coordination, and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Junwei Yu , Yepeng Ding , Hiroyuki Sato

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Deep learning (DL) approaches are being increasingly used for time-series forecasting, with many efforts devoted to designing complex DL models. Recent studies have shown that the DL success is often attributed to effective data…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jianing Hao , Qing Shi , Yilin Ye , Wei Zeng

Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is crucial across various domains, but complex deep models like Transformers are often prone to overfitting on extended sequences. Linear Fully Connected models have emerged as a powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yuang Zhao , Tianyu Li , Jiadong Chen , Shenrong Ye , Fuxin Jiang , Xiaofeng Gao

Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) is a method that estimates the correlation between two time series across time. Although used primarily in finance so far, DCC has been proposed recently as a model-based estimation method for…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-05 Aparna John , Toshikazu Ikuta , Janina D Ferbinteanu , Majnu John

Multi-modal large language models (MLLMs) have enabled numerous advances in understanding and reasoning in domains like vision, but we have not yet seen this broad success for time-series. Although prior works on time-series MLLMs have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Winnie Chow , Lauren Gardiner , Haraldur T. Hallgrímsson , Maxwell A. Xu , Shirley You Ren

The generation of synthetic financial data is a critical technology in the financial domain, addressing challenges posed by limited data availability. Traditionally, statistical models have been employed to generate synthetic data. However,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yuki Tanaka , Ryuji Hashimoto , Takehiro Takayanagi , Zhe Piao , Yuri Murayama , Kiyoshi Izumi

Dimensional synthesis of planar four-bar mechanisms is a challenging inverse problem in kinematics, requiring the determination of mechanism dimensions from desired motion specifications. We propose a data-driven framework that bypasses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Woon Ryong Kim , Jaeheun Jung , Jeong Un Ha , Donghun Lee , Jae Kyung Shim

AI-based persona simulation -- often referred to as digital twin simulation -- is increasingly used for market research, recommender systems, and social sciences. Despite their flexibility, large language models (LLMs) often exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Grace Jiarui Fan , Chengpiao Huang , Tianyi Peng , Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu

Recent DiT-based text-to-image models increasingly adopt LLMs as text encoders, yet text conditioning remains largely static and often utilizes only a single LLM layer, despite pronounced semantic hierarchy across LLM layers and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Bozhou Li , Yushuo Guan , Haolin Li , Bohan Zeng , Yiyan Ji , Yue Ding , Pengfei Wan , Kun Gai , Yuanxing Zhang , Wentao Zhang

Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh

High-dimensional longitudinal time series data is prevalent across various real-world applications. Many such applications can be modeled as regression problems with high-dimensional time series covariates. Deep learning has been a popular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-09 Wenxuan Zuo , Zifan Zhu , Yuxuan Du , Yi-Chun Yeh , Jed A. Fuhrman , Jinchi Lv , Yingying Fan , Fengzhu Sun

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting has gained attention for its ability to provide nonlinear approximation and valuable uncertainty quantification for decision-making. However, existing models often oversimplify the problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

As large language models (LLMs) advance, their ability to perform in-context learning and few-shot language generation has improved significantly. This has spurred using LLMs to produce high-quality synthetic data to enhance the performance…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Jiyuan Ren , Zhaocheng Du , Zhihao Wen , Qinglin Jia , Sunhao Dai , Chuhan Wu , Zhenhua Dong