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We investigate locality of the supercritical regime for Bernoulli percolation on transitive graphs with polynomial growth, by which we mean the following. Take a transitive graph of polynomial growth $\mathscr{G}$ satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Sébastien Martineau , Christoforos Panagiotis

We consider an inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph ensemble with exponentially decaying random disconnection probabilities determined by an i.i.d. field of variables with heavy tails and infinite mean associated to the vertices of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Luca Avena , Diego Garlaschelli , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Margherita Lalli

We study various statistical properties of real roots of three different classes of random polynomials which recently attracted a vivid interest in the context of probability theory and quantum chaos. We first focus on gap probabilities on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gregory Schehr , Satya N. Majumdar

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

Given a graphical degree sequence ${\bf d}=(d_1,\ldots, d_n)$, let $G(n, {\bf d})$ denote a uniformly random graph on vertex set $[n]$ where vertex $ i$ has degree $d_i$ for every $1\le i\le n$. We give upper and lower bounds on the joint…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Pu Gao , Yuval Ohapkin

Bootstrap percolation is a wide class of monotone cellular automata with random initial state. In this work we develop tools for studying in full generality one of the three `universality' classes of bootstrap percolation models in two…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Ivailo Hartarsky

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

Hyperbolic lattices interpolate between finite-dimensional lattices and Bethe lattices and are interesting in their own right with ordinary percolation exhibiting not one, but two, phase transitions. We study four constraint percolation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-15 Jorge H. Lopez , J. M. Schwarz

We prove that for integers $2 \leq \ell < k$ and a small constant $c$, if a $k$-uniform hypergraph with linear minimum codegree is randomly `perturbed' by changing non-edges to edges independently at random with probability $p \geq…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Andrew McDowell , Richard Mycroft

We consider the upper tail large deviations of subgraph counts for irregular graphs $\mathrm{H}$ in $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$, the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph on $n$ vertices with edge connectivity probability $p \in (0,1)$. For $n^{-1/\Delta}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Anirban Basak , Shaibal Karmakar

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We study the critical behavior of inhomogeneous random graphs where edges are present independently but with unequal edge occupation probabilities. The edge probabilities are moderated by vertex weights, and are such that the degree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-16 Remco van der Hofstad

Tensor network contraction is a fundamental computational challenge underlying quantum many-body physics, statistical mechanics, and machine learning. Belief propagation (BP) provides an efficient approximate solution, but introduces…

We study first passage percolation on the configuration model. Assuming that each edge has an independent exponentially distributed edge weight, we derive explicit distributional asymptotics for the minimum weight between two randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Shankar Bhamidi , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerard Hooghiemstra

A Hamilton Berge cycle of a hypergraph on $n$ vertices is an alternating sequence $(v_1, e_1, v_2, \ldots, v_n, e_n)$ of distinct vertices $v_1, \ldots, v_n$ and distinct hyperedges $e_1, \ldots, e_n$ such that $\{v_1,v_n\}\subseteq e_n$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Dennis Clemens , Julia Ehrenmüller , Yury Person

A comprehensive picture of three Bethe-Kikuchi variational principles including their relationship to belief propagation (BP) algorithms on hypergraphs is given. The structure of BP equations is generalized to define continuous-time…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-10-05 Olivier Peltre

Belief propagation (BP) is a powerful tool to solve distributed inference problems, though it is limited by short cycles in the corresponding factor graph. Such cycles may lead to incorrect solutions or oscillatory behavior. Only for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-08 Christopher Lindberg , Julien M. Hendrickx , Henk Wymeersch

We study a general framework of distributional computational graphs: computational graphs whose inputs are probability distributions rather than point values. We analyze the discretization error that arises when these graphs are evaluated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Olof Hallqvist Elias , Michael Selby , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo
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